Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NMS · Technology · Software - Application
Is Grab Holdings Limited a safe investment right now?
Grab Holdings Limited's Altman Z-Score of 0.59 places it in the distress zone. Our fair value estimate is $2.80 (Overvalued). Moat rating: 2.9/5 stars.
Could Grab Holdings Limited go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 0.59 falls below the 1.8 distress threshold, indicating significant financial stress.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives GRAB's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.2882 | 1.2 | 0.35 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | -1.4579 | 1.4 | -2.04 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.0284 | 3.3 | 0.09 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 3.1856 | 0.6 | 1.91 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.2812 | 1.0 | 0.28 |
How has GRAB's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1.68 | Distress |
| 2023 | 2.34 | Gray |
| 2024 | 1.57 | Distress |
| 2025 | 0.59 | Distress |
Source: Calculated from GRAB's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is Grab Holdings Limited actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $0.07 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $0.06 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $0.09 | 26 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 67.7x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 40.0x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Accelerating | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $6.29 (26 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Grab Holdings Limited have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 2.9/5.
What makes up GRAB's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is GRAB's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -20.2% | — |
| 2023 | -5.2% | Rising |
| 2024 | -0.8% | Rising |
| 2025 | 4.0% | Rising |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Grab Holdings Limited's dividend safe?
Grab Holdings Limited's key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.4B | $2.8B | $1.4B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.3B | −$0.1B | −$1.7B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | −$0.0B | $0.7B | −$0.9B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 43.2% | 42.0% | 5.4% | Rising |
Recent events that affect our GRAB analysis
GRAB earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $0.01. Revenue estimate: $917.9M. Our current Fair Value: $2.80 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
GRAB analyst consensus: 96% bullish (26 of 27 analysts)
7 Strong Buy, 19 Buy, 1 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $6.29 (54.9% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $2.80.
GRAB beat EPS estimates by 294.5%
Reported EPS: $0.04 vs estimate $0.01. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $2.80 (31.0% below current price).
GRAB missed EPS estimates by 3.0%
Reported EPS: $0.01 vs estimate $0.01. Our Fair Value of $2.80 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
GRAB missed EPS estimates by 7.1%
Reported EPS: $0.01 vs estimate $0.01. Our Fair Value of $2.80 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
GRAB missed EPS estimates by 36.0%
Reported EPS: $0.01 vs estimate $0.01. Our Fair Value of $2.80 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
GRAB beat EPS estimates by 86.0%
Reported EPS: $0.02 vs estimate $0.01. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $2.80 (31.0% below current price).
Common questions about Grab Holdings Limited
What is Grab Holdings Limited stock price today?
Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) stock price is $4.06 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does Grab Holdings Limited do?
Grab Holdings Limited operates the Grab superapp in Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. It offers delivery services on its platform, such as GrabFood, a food ordering and delivery booking service; Dine-Out for table reservations; GrabMart, a goods ordering and delivery booking service; GrabAds, an online advertising solution; GrabExpress, a package delivery booking service; Grab for Business platform, a unified management portal for corporate clients. It also provides GrabKios, a network of agents; GrabCar, which enables a private hire driver-partner to register with Grab and accept bookings through its driver-partner application; and GrabTaxi, which enables a taxi driver-partner to register with Grab and accept bookings through the Grab driver-partner application.
What is Grab Holdings Limited market cap?
Grab Holdings Limited has a market capitalization of $16.65B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Technology sector.
What sector and industry is GRAB in?
Grab Holdings Limited operates in the Technology sector, specifically within the Software - Application industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol GRAB.
Is GRAB stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Grab Holdings Limited trades 45.0% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $2.80
- Current Price: $4.06
- Valuation Zone: Overvalued
What is GRAB stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 26 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Grab Holdings Limited is $6.29, implying upside of 54.9% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $8.00
- Analyst Low Target: $4.50
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Grab Holdings Limited revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Grab Holdings Limited:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 21.6%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 32.9%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 20.4%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 63.7%
What are Grab Holdings Limited's key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.4B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.3B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | −$0.0B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 43.2% | Rising |
What is GRAB's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 67.7x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 27.4x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 40.0x
How volatile is GRAB stock?
Grab Holdings Limited has a beta of 1.00, meaning it is roughly in line with overall market volatility. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Grab Holdings Limited have?
Grab Holdings Limited's balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $6.86B
- Total Debt: $1.59B
- Net Cash Position: $5.27B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Grab Holdings Limited's free cash flow?
Grab Holdings Limited generated $907.6M in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $79.0M in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Grab Holdings Limited pay a dividend?
Grab Holdings Limited does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Grab Holdings Limited at risk of going bankrupt?
Grab Holdings Limited's Altman Z-Score is 0.59, placing it in the distress zone (below 1.8) — elevated bankruptcy risk. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Grab Holdings Limited have a durable competitive advantage?
Grab Holdings Limited scores 2.9/5 stars (Narrow moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 2/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is GRAB's return on equity (ROE)?
Grab Holdings Limited's return on equity is 3.0%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy GRAB stock?
GRAB shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol GRAB
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is GRAB a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Grab Holdings Limited as Value-Speculation. It has some value characteristics but carries elevated risk factors that make it speculative. Extra due diligence is recommended.
Who is the CEO of Grab Holdings Limited?
The current CEO of Grab Holdings Limited is Mr. Ping Yeow Tan.
What is GRAB's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $0.06
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $0.15
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $0.09
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $0.15
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FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
GRAB analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings