Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NMS · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Is Fortinet, Inc. a safe investment right now?
Fortinet, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 5.66 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $80.78 (Fairly Valued). Moat rating: 3.7/5 stars.
Could Fortinet, Inc. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 5.66 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives FTNT's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.0834 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | -0.0489 | 1.4 | -0.07 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.2216 | 3.3 | 0.73 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 7.0768 | 0.6 | 4.25 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.6545 | 1.0 | 0.65 |
How has FTNT's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 6.99 | Safe |
| 2023 | 6.14 | Safe |
| 2024 | 6.23 | Safe |
| 2025 | 5.66 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from FTNT's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is Fortinet, Inc. actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $2.64 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $2.42 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $2.98 | 34 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 36.0x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 30.6x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Growing | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $89.00 (34 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Fortinet, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 3.7/5.
What makes up FTNT's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is FTNT's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 60.0% | — |
| 2023 | 60.0% | Stable |
| 2024 | 60.0% | Stable |
| 2025 | 60.0% | Stable |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Fortinet, Inc.'s dividend safe?
Fortinet, Inc.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.8B | $6.0B | $4.4B | Rising |
| Net Income | $1.9B | $1.7B | $0.9B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.2B | $1.9B | $1.4B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 80.5% | 80.6% | 75.4% | Rising |
Recent events that affect our FTNT analysis
FTNT earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $0.62. Revenue estimate: $1.73B. Our current Fair Value: $80.78 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
FTNT analyst consensus: 21% bullish (9 of 42 analysts)
1 Strong Buy, 8 Buy, 29 Hold, 3 Sell, 1 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $89.00 (2.2% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $80.78.
FTNT filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
FTNT beat EPS estimates by 8.9%
Reported EPS: $0.81 vs estimate $0.74. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $80.78 (7.2% below current price).
FTNT filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
FTNT filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
FTNT beat EPS estimates by 16.9%
Reported EPS: $0.74 vs estimate $0.63. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $80.78 (7.2% below current price).
FTNT filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
FTNT filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
FTNT filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
FTNT beat EPS estimates by 8.3%
Reported EPS: $0.64 vs estimate $0.59. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $80.78 (7.2% below current price).
FTNT filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
FTNT filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
FTNT filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
FTNT beat EPS estimates by 9.0%
Reported EPS: $0.58 vs estimate $0.53. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $80.78 (7.2% below current price).
FTNT filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
FTNT filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
FTNT beat EPS estimates by 26.8%
Reported EPS: $0.68 vs estimate $0.54. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $80.78 (7.2% below current price).
FTNT filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Fortinet, Inc.
What is Fortinet, Inc. stock price today?
Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT) stock price is $87.09 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does Fortinet, Inc. do?
Fortinet, Inc. provides cybersecurity and convergence of networking and security solutions worldwide. It offers FortiOS, a unified operating system designed to address cybersecurity threats; FortiASIC application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC)-based security processing units; FortiCloud, a private cloud software as a service platform; FortiAI, which provides a dual-layered defense across the Fortinet Security Fabric; FortiEndpoint, which converges secure connectivity, endpoint protection, and capabilities into a single agent; and OT Security, which protect the engineered systems that underpin infrastructure and supply chains.
What is Fortinet, Inc. market cap?
Fortinet, Inc. has a market capitalization of $64.76B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Technology sector.
What sector and industry is FTNT in?
Fortinet, Inc. operates in the Technology sector, specifically within the Software - Infrastructure industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol FTNT.
Is FTNT stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Fortinet, Inc. trades 7.8% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $80.78
- Current Price: $87.09
- Valuation Zone: Fairly Valued
What is FTNT stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 34 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Fortinet, Inc. is $89.00, implying upside of 2.2% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $120.00
- Analyst Low Target: $64.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Fortinet, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Fortinet, Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 11.8%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 8.0%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 10.5%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 11.1%
What are Fortinet, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.8B | Rising |
| Net Income | $1.9B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.2B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 80.5% | Rising |
What is FTNT's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 36.0x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 26.3x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 30.6x
How volatile is FTNT stock?
Fortinet, Inc. has a beta of 1.00, meaning it is roughly in line with overall market volatility. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Fortinet, Inc. have?
Fortinet, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $3.58B
- Total Debt: $1.06B
- Net Cash Position: $2.52B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Fortinet, Inc.'s free cash flow?
Fortinet, Inc. generated $1.75B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $2.59B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Fortinet, Inc. pay a dividend?
Fortinet, Inc. does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Fortinet, Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
Fortinet, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 5.66, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Fortinet, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Fortinet, Inc. scores 3.7/5 stars (Solid moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 4/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is FTNT's return on equity (ROE)?
Fortinet, Inc.'s return on equity is 135.7%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy FTNT stock?
FTNT shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol FTNT
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is FTNT a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Fortinet, Inc. as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of Fortinet, Inc.?
The current CEO of Fortinet, Inc. is Mr. Ken Xie.
What is FTNT's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $2.42
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $3.31
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $2.98
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $3.31
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FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
FTNT analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings