FairValueLabs Valuation System Value Investment
CSCO

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating

NMS · Technology · Communication Equipment

$89.80 Fairly Valued 0.10 (0.1%) As of Apr 22, 2026 Not a buy/sell recommendation. See disclaimer.
Overall Verdict Safe Zone
3.63
Altman Z-ScoreSafe Zone
$86.08
Fair ValueFairly Valued (-4.3%)
3.7
Moat RatingSolid moat · eroding
TL;DR · Audit Summary

Is Cisco Systems, Inc. a safe investment right now?

Cisco Systems, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 3.63 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $86.08 (Fairly Valued). Moat rating: 3.7/5 stars.

Price Chart · CSCO
Section 01 · Financial Health

Could Cisco Systems, Inc. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis

3.63

Z-Score of 3.63 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.

  • Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
  • 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
  • Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)

What drives CSCO's Z-Score?

Altman Z-Score components for CSCO
ComponentFormulaValueWeightContribution
A · Working Capital / Total AssetsWC / TA-0.00061.2-0.0
B · Retained Earnings / Total AssetsRE / TA0.00041.40.0
C · EBIT / Total AssetsEBIT / TA0.10383.30.34
D · Market Cap / Total LiabilitiesMCap / TL4.70270.62.82
E · Revenue / Total AssetsRev / TA0.46331.00.46

How has CSCO's financial health changed over time?

3.0 Safe1.8 Distress0.01.52.94.45.92022202320242025
CSCO Z-Score history
YearZ-ScoreZone
20225.12Safe
20234.94Safe
20243.46Safe
20253.63Safe

Source: Calculated from CSCO's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.

Section 02 · Fair Value Estimate

What is Cisco Systems, Inc. actually worth?

FVL Fair Value$86.08
vs
Market Price$89.80
Fairly Valued -4.3% Stock trades 4.3% above our estimated fair value of $86.08.

How we calculated this

FVL Valuation Model
InputValueSource
Predicted EPS (α)$3.13Proprietary blend of reported actuals (2Q actual) + analyst consensus, weighted by α
Last Year EPS$2.61Annual report (SEC EDGAR)
Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year)$4.1622 analysts consensus
Trailing P/E32.3xCurrent market pricing
Fair P/E (β discount)27.5xTrailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped
Earnings Trend (γ)AcceleratingDirectional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS

Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $89.09 (22 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.

Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.

Section 03 · Competitive Moat

Does Cisco Systems, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?

★★★½☆
Solid moat · eroding

Moat rating: 3.7/5.

What makes up CSCO's moat score?

ROIC Stability

★★★★☆

ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.

Gross Margin Trend

★★★★☆

Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.

Switching Costs

★★★☆☆

Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.

How stable is CSCO's return on invested capital?

0%-5%5%15%25%35%2022202320242025
CSCO ROIC history
YearROICTrend
202230.1%
202329.8%Stable
202417.3%Declining
202516.9%Stable

Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.

Section 04 · Dividend Safety

Is Cisco Systems, Inc.'s dividend safe?

A Dividend Safety Grade
Yield1.8%
Payout Ratio59.0%
Consecutive Years16
5Y Growth Rate-10.8%

Can Cisco Systems, Inc. afford its dividend?

Payout ratio is 59.0%. FCF covers the dividend 2.0x. 16 consecutive years of payments.

Section 05 · Financial Summary

Cisco Systems, Inc.'s key financial metrics

CSCO financial summary
MetricLatest1Y Ago3Y AgoTrend
Revenue $56.7B $53.8B $51.6B Rising
Net Income $10.2B $10.3B $11.8B Declining
Free Cash Flow $13.3B $10.2B $12.7B Stable
Gross Margin 64.9% 64.7% 62.5% Stable
Section 06 · Lab Signals

Recent events that affect our CSCO analysis

EARNINGS

CSCO earnings report scheduled

Lab Impact

Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $1.04. Revenue estimate: $15.56B. Our current Fair Value: $86.08 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.

ANALYST

CSCO analyst consensus: 65% bullish (17 of 26 analysts)

Lab Impact

4 Strong Buy, 13 Buy, 9 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $89.09 (0.8% downside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $86.08.

FILING

CSCO filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

DIVIDEND

CSCO paid $0.4200/share dividend

Lab Impact

Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 59.0%.

FILING

CSCO filed quarterly report (10-Q)

Lab Impact

Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →

EARNINGS

CSCO beat EPS estimates by 1.8%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $1.04 vs estimate $1.02. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $86.08 (4.1% below current price).

FILING

CSCO filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

DIVIDEND

CSCO paid $0.4100/share dividend

Lab Impact

Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 59.0%.

FILING

CSCO filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

CSCO filed quarterly report (10-Q)

Lab Impact

Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →

EARNINGS

CSCO beat EPS estimates by 1.8%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $1.00 vs estimate $0.98. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $86.08 (4.1% below current price).

FILING

CSCO filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

CSCO filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

DIVIDEND

CSCO paid $0.4100/share dividend

Lab Impact

Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 59.0%.

FILING

CSCO filed annual report (10-K)

Lab Impact

Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

CSCO filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

EARNINGS

CSCO beat EPS estimates by 1.3%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $0.99 vs estimate $0.98. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $86.08 (4.1% below current price).

FILING

CSCO filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

DIVIDEND

CSCO paid $0.4100/share dividend

Lab Impact

Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 59.0%.

FILING

CSCO filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

CSCO filed quarterly report (10-Q)

Lab Impact

Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →

EARNINGS

CSCO beat EPS estimates by 4.6%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $0.96 vs estimate $0.92. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $86.08 (4.1% below current price).

FILING

CSCO filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

CSCO filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

CSCO filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

DIVIDEND

CSCO paid $0.4100/share dividend

Lab Impact

Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 59.0%.

FILING

CSCO filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

CSCO filed quarterly report (10-Q)

Lab Impact

Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →

EARNINGS

CSCO beat EPS estimates by 3.4%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $0.94 vs estimate $0.91. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $86.08 (4.1% below current price).

FILING

CSCO filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

CSCO filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

DIVIDEND

CSCO paid $0.4000/share dividend

Lab Impact

Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 59.0%.

Section 07 · FAQ

Common questions about Cisco Systems, Inc.

What is Cisco Systems, Inc. stock price today?

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) stock price is $89.80 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.

What does Cisco Systems, Inc. do?

Cisco Systems, Inc. designs, develops, and sells technologies that help to power, secure, and draw insights from the internet in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Japan, and China. It offers data center switching; network security, identity and access management, and secure access service edge; threat intelligence, detection, and response solutions; interconnects public and private wireline and mobile networks, delivering connectivity to campus, data center, and branch networks; WEBEX suite, collaboration devices, and contact center; communication platform as a service software, including perpetual licenses, subscription arrangements, and hardware solutions; network assurance, monitoring and analytics, and observability suite; issue resolution, software support, and hardware replacement; professional services, such as planning, design, implementation, and high-value consulting; service and support packages, financing, and managed network services; and regional, national, and international wireline carriers, webscale products, internet, and cable.

What is Cisco Systems, Inc. market cap?

Cisco Systems, Inc. has a market capitalization of $354.81B, classifying it as a mega-cap stock in the Technology sector.

What sector and industry is CSCO in?

Cisco Systems, Inc. operates in the Technology sector, specifically within the Communication Equipment industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol CSCO.

Is CSCO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on our valuation model, Cisco Systems, Inc. trades 4.3% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.

  • FairValueLabs Fair Value: $86.08
  • Current Price: $89.80
  • Valuation Zone: Fairly Valued
What is CSCO stock forecast and analyst target price?

Based on 22 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Cisco Systems, Inc. is $89.09, implying downside of 0.8% from the current price.

  • Analyst High Target: $100.00
  • Analyst Low Target: $75.00

Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.

Is Cisco Systems, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?

Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Cisco Systems, Inc.:

  • Revenue growth (current year est.): 8.7%
  • EPS growth (current year est.): 9.1%
  • Revenue growth (next year est.): 5.5%
  • EPS growth (next year est.): 8.5%
What are Cisco Systems, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
MetricLatestTrend
Revenue$56.7BRising
Net Income$10.2BDeclining
Free Cash Flow$13.3BStable
Gross Margin64.9%Stable
What is CSCO's P/E ratio?

The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:

  • Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 32.3x
  • Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 19.9x
  • FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 27.5x
How volatile is CSCO stock?

Cisco Systems, Inc. has a beta of 0.82, meaning it is less volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.

How much cash and debt does Cisco Systems, Inc. have?

Cisco Systems, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:

  • Total Cash: $15.78B
  • Total Debt: $31.74B
  • Net Cash Position: $-15.96B

A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.

What is Cisco Systems, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Cisco Systems, Inc. generated $10.13B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $13.32B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.

Does Cisco Systems, Inc. pay a dividend, and is it safe?

Yes, Cisco Systems, Inc. pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:

  • Dividend Yield: 1.8%
  • Payout Ratio: 59.0%
  • Consecutive Years Paid: 16
  • 5-Year Dividend Growth: -10.8%
  • FairValueLabs Safety Grade: A
Is Cisco Systems, Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?

Cisco Systems, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 3.63, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.

Does Cisco Systems, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?

Cisco Systems, Inc. scores 3.7/5 stars (Solid moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:

  • ROIC Stability: 4/5
  • Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
  • Switching Costs: 3/5

A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.

What is CSCO's return on equity (ROE)?

Cisco Systems, Inc.'s return on equity is 23.8%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.

How do I buy CSCO stock?

CSCO shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:

  1. Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
  2. Search for ticker symbol CSCO
  3. Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares

This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.

Is CSCO a value stock or speculative?

FairValueLabs classifies Cisco Systems, Inc. as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.

Who is the CEO of Cisco Systems, Inc.?

The current CEO of Cisco Systems, Inc. is Mr. Charles H. Robbins.

What is CSCO's earnings per share (EPS)?

Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:

  • Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $2.78
  • Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $4.51
  • Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $4.16
  • Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $4.51

FairValueLabs Disclaimer

All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.

This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.

CSCO analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings