Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NMS · Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Is Lam Research Corporation a safe investment right now?
Lam Research Corporation's Altman Z-Score of 21.59 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $192.40 (Overvalued). Moat rating: 3.7/5 stars.
Could Lam Research Corporation go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 21.59 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives LRCX's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.3724 | 1.2 | 0.45 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 1.3581 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.2875 | 3.3 | 0.95 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 29.0447 | 0.6 | 17.43 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.8637 | 1.0 | 0.86 |
How has LRCX's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22.41 | Safe |
| 2023 | 23.01 | Safe |
| 2024 | 23.61 | Safe |
| 2025 | 21.59 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from LRCX's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is Lam Research Corporation actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $4.81 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals (2Q actual) + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $4.15 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $5.34 | 31 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 54.6x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 40.0x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Stable | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $281.23 (31 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Lam Research Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 3.7/5.
What makes up LRCX's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is LRCX's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 47.8% | — |
| 2023 | 40.2% | Declining |
| 2024 | 33.7% | Declining |
| 2025 | 42.8% | Rising |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Lam Research Corporation's dividend safe?
Can Lam Research Corporation afford its dividend?
Payout ratio is 20.1%. FCF covers the dividend 3.1x. 13 consecutive years of payments.
Lam Research Corporation's key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $18.4B | $14.9B | $17.2B | Rising |
| Net Income | $5.4B | $3.8B | $4.6B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $5.4B | $4.3B | $2.6B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 48.7% | 47.3% | 45.7% | Rising |
Recent events that affect our LRCX analysis
LRCX analyst consensus: 77% bullish (27 of 35 analysts)
3 Strong Buy, 24 Buy, 7 Hold, 0 Sell, 1 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $281.23 (5.9% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $192.40.
LRCX beat EPS estimates by 7.9%
Reported EPS: $1.47 vs estimate $1.36. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $192.40 (27.5% below current price).
LRCX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LRCX paid $0.2600/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 20.1%.
LRCX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LRCX filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
LRCX beat EPS estimates by 8.7%
Reported EPS: $1.27 vs estimate $1.17. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $192.40 (27.5% below current price).
LRCX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LRCX paid $0.2600/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 20.1%.
LRCX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LRCX filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
LRCX beat EPS estimates by 3.3%
Reported EPS: $1.26 vs estimate $1.22. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $192.40 (27.5% below current price).
LRCX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LRCX paid $0.2600/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 20.1%.
LRCX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LRCX filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
LRCX beat EPS estimates by 10.4%
Reported EPS: $1.33 vs estimate $1.21. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $192.40 (27.5% below current price).
LRCX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LRCX paid $0.2300/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 20.1%.
LRCX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LRCX filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
LRCX beat EPS estimates by 4.1%
Reported EPS: $1.04 vs estimate $1.00. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $192.40 (27.5% below current price).
LRCX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LRCX paid $0.2300/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 20.1%.
LRCX filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
LRCX beat EPS estimates by 3.5%
Reported EPS: $0.91 vs estimate $0.88. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $192.40 (27.5% below current price).
LRCX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LRCX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Lam Research Corporation
What is Lam Research Corporation stock price today?
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) stock price is $265.55 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does Lam Research Corporation do?
Lam Research Corporation designs, manufactures, markets, refurbishes, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the fabrication of integrated circuits in the United States, China, Korea, Taiwan, Japan, Southeast Asia, and Europe. It offers ALTUS systems to deposit conformal or selective films for tungsten or molybdenum metallization applications; SABRE electrochemical deposition products for copper interconnect transition that offers copper damascene manufacturing; SPEED gapfill high-density plasma chemical vapor deposition (CVD) products; Striker single-wafer atomic layer deposition products for dielectric film solutions; and VECTOR plasma-enhanced CVD products. It also provides Flex for dielectric etch applications; Vantex, a dielectric etch system that provides RF technology and repeatable wafer-to-wafer performance enabled by Equipment Intelligence solutions; Kiyo for conductor etch applications; Syndion for through-silicon via etch applications; and Versys metal products for metal etch processes.
What is Lam Research Corporation market cap?
Lam Research Corporation has a market capitalization of $333.54B, classifying it as a mega-cap stock in the Technology sector.
What sector and industry is LRCX in?
Lam Research Corporation operates in the Technology sector, specifically within the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol LRCX.
Is LRCX stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Lam Research Corporation trades 38.0% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $192.40
- Current Price: $265.55
- Valuation Zone: Overvalued
What is LRCX stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 31 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Lam Research Corporation is $281.23, implying upside of 5.9% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $360.00
- Analyst Low Target: $200.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Lam Research Corporation revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Lam Research Corporation:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 21.9%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 29.0%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 26.1%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 34.0%
What are Lam Research Corporation's key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $18.4B | Rising |
| Net Income | $5.4B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $5.4B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 48.7% | Rising |
What is LRCX's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 54.6x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 37.1x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 40.0x
How volatile is LRCX stock?
Lam Research Corporation has a beta of 1.79, meaning it is significantly more volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Lam Research Corporation have?
Lam Research Corporation's balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $6.18B
- Total Debt: $4.48B
- Net Cash Position: $1.70B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Lam Research Corporation's free cash flow?
Lam Research Corporation generated $4.82B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $7.12B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Lam Research Corporation pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, Lam Research Corporation pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 0.4%
- Payout Ratio: 20.1%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 13
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: -14.2%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: A
Is Lam Research Corporation at risk of going bankrupt?
Lam Research Corporation's Altman Z-Score is 21.59, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Lam Research Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?
Lam Research Corporation scores 3.7/5 stars (Solid moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 4/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is LRCX's return on equity (ROE)?
Lam Research Corporation's return on equity is 65.6%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy LRCX stock?
LRCX shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol LRCX
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is LRCX a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Lam Research Corporation as Value-Speculation. It has some value characteristics but carries elevated risk factors that make it speculative. Extra due diligence is recommended.
Who is the CEO of Lam Research Corporation?
The current CEO of Lam Research Corporation is Mr. Timothy M. Archer.
What is LRCX's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $4.86
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $7.15
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $5.34
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $7.15
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
LRCX analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings