Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NMS · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Is Palantir Technologies Inc. a safe investment right now?
Palantir Technologies Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 156.5 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $36.40 (Overvalued). Moat rating: 2.9/5 stars.
Could Palantir Technologies Inc. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 156.5 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives PLTR's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.807 | 1.2 | 0.97 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | -0.4003 | 1.4 | -0.56 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.1589 | 3.3 | 0.52 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 258.4413 | 0.6 | 155.06 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.5028 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
How has PLTR's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 266.35 | Safe |
| 2023 | 227.52 | Safe |
| 2024 | 176.11 | Safe |
| 2025 | 156.5 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from PLTR's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is Palantir Technologies Inc. actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $0.91 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $0.63 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $1.32 | 25 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 242.3x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 40.0x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Accelerating | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $186.47 (25 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Palantir Technologies Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 2.9/5.
What makes up PLTR's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is PLTR's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -6.3% | — |
| 2023 | 3.5% | Rising |
| 2024 | 6.2% | Rising |
| 2025 | 19.1% | Rising |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Palantir Technologies Inc.'s dividend safe?
Palantir Technologies Inc.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.5B | $2.9B | $1.9B | Rising |
| Net Income | $1.6B | $0.5B | −$0.4B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.1B | $1.1B | $0.2B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 82.4% | 80.2% | 78.6% | Stable |
Recent events that affect our PLTR analysis
PLTR earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $0.28. Revenue estimate: $1.54B. Our current Fair Value: $36.40 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
PLTR analyst consensus: 59% bullish (17 of 29 analysts)
1 Strong Buy, 16 Buy, 10 Hold, 1 Sell, 1 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $186.47 (22.2% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $36.40.
PLTR filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
PLTR beat EPS estimates by 8.6%
Reported EPS: $0.25 vs estimate $0.23. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $36.40 (76.1% below current price).
PLTR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
PLTR filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
PLTR beat EPS estimates by 25.5%
Reported EPS: $0.21 vs estimate $0.17. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $36.40 (76.1% below current price).
PLTR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
PLTR filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
PLTR beat EPS estimates by 15.6%
Reported EPS: $0.16 vs estimate $0.14. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $36.40 (76.1% below current price).
PLTR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
PLTR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
PLTR filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
PLTR beat EPS estimates by 1.1%
Reported EPS: $0.13 vs estimate $0.13. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $36.40 (76.1% below current price).
PLTR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
PLTR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
PLTR filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
PLTR beat EPS estimates by 23.7%
Reported EPS: $0.14 vs estimate $0.11. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $36.40 (76.1% below current price).
PLTR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Palantir Technologies Inc.
What is Palantir Technologies Inc. stock price today?
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) stock price is $152.62 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does Palantir Technologies Inc. do?
Palantir Technologies Inc. builds and deploys software platforms for the intelligence community to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It provides Palantir Gotham integrates with other platforms for defense offerings which enables users to see, understand, and act in the modern battlespace; operations centers to the tactical edge; integrating data from domains and sensors in near real-time; and situational awareness and accelerating operational decision-making, as well as facilitates the hand-off between analysts and operational users, helping operators plan and execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform.
What is Palantir Technologies Inc. market cap?
Palantir Technologies Inc. has a market capitalization of $365.02B, classifying it as a mega-cap stock in the Technology sector.
What sector and industry is PLTR in?
Palantir Technologies Inc. operates in the Technology sector, specifically within the Software - Infrastructure industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol PLTR.
Is PLTR stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Palantir Technologies Inc. trades 319.3% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $36.40
- Current Price: $152.62
- Valuation Zone: Overvalued
What is PLTR stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 25 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Palantir Technologies Inc. is $186.47, implying upside of 22.2% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $260.00
- Analyst Low Target: $70.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Palantir Technologies Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Palantir Technologies Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 62.4%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 76.3%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 43.0%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 40.8%
What are Palantir Technologies Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.5B | Rising |
| Net Income | $1.6B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.1B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 82.4% | Stable |
What is PLTR's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 242.2x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 81.9x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 40.0x
How volatile is PLTR stock?
Palantir Technologies Inc. has a beta of 1.67, meaning it is significantly more volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Palantir Technologies Inc. have?
Palantir Technologies Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $7.18B
- Total Debt: $229.3M
- Net Cash Position: $6.95B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Palantir Technologies Inc.'s free cash flow?
Palantir Technologies Inc. generated $1.26B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $2.13B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Palantir Technologies Inc. pay a dividend?
Palantir Technologies Inc. does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Palantir Technologies Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
Palantir Technologies Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 156.50, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Palantir Technologies Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Palantir Technologies Inc. scores 2.9/5 stars (Narrow moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 2/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is PLTR's return on equity (ROE)?
Palantir Technologies Inc.'s return on equity is 26.0%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy PLTR stock?
PLTR shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol PLTR
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is PLTR a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Palantir Technologies Inc. as Pure Speculation. It lacks the financial stability or valuation margin typically required for value investing. This stock is considered high risk.
Who is the CEO of Palantir Technologies Inc.?
The current CEO of Palantir Technologies Inc. is Dr. Alexander C. Karp J.D..
What is PLTR's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $0.63
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $1.86
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $1.32
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $1.86
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FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
PLTR analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings