Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NYQ · Technology · Software - Application
Is Uber Technologies, Inc. a safe investment right now?
Uber Technologies, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 3.73 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $56.98 (Overvalued). Moat rating: 3.4/5 stars.
Could Uber Technologies, Inc. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 3.73 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives UBER's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.0271 | 1.2 | 0.03 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | -0.172 | 1.4 | -0.24 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.101 | 3.3 | 0.33 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 4.6132 | 0.6 | 2.77 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.8417 | 1.0 | 0.84 |
How has UBER's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2.62 | Gray |
| 2023 | 3.75 | Safe |
| 2024 | 3.85 | Safe |
| 2025 | 3.73 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from UBER's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is Uber Technologies, Inc. actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $4.19 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $4.73 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $3.37 | 52 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 16.0x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 13.6x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Declining | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $103.46 (52 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Uber Technologies, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 3.4/5.
What makes up UBER's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 3/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is UBER's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -53.4% | — |
| 2023 | 14.2% | Rising |
| 2024 | 15.0% | Stable |
| 2025 | 16.6% | Rising |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Uber Technologies, Inc.'s dividend safe?
Uber Technologies, Inc.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $52.0B | $44.0B | $31.9B | Rising |
| Net Income | $10.1B | $9.9B | −$9.1B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $9.8B | $6.9B | $0.4B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 39.8% | 39.4% | 38.3% | Stable |
Recent events that affect our UBER analysis
UBER earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $0.69. Revenue estimate: $13.29B. Our current Fair Value: $56.98 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
UBER analyst consensus: 84% bullish (46 of 55 analysts)
10 Strong Buy, 36 Buy, 8 Hold, 1 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $103.46 (36.9% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $56.98.
UBER filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER missed EPS estimates by 81.9%
Reported EPS: $0.14 vs estimate $0.78. Our Fair Value of $56.98 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
UBER filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER missed EPS estimates by 25.4%
Reported EPS: $0.65 vs estimate $0.87. Our Fair Value of $56.98 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
UBER filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER beat EPS estimates by 1.1%
Reported EPS: $0.63 vs estimate $0.62. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $56.98 (24.6% below current price).
UBER filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER beat EPS estimates by 65.0%
Reported EPS: $0.83 vs estimate $0.50. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $56.98 (24.6% below current price).
UBER filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
UBER beat EPS estimates by 573.4%
Reported EPS: $3.21 vs estimate $0.48. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $56.98 (24.6% below current price).
UBER filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Uber Technologies, Inc.
What is Uber Technologies, Inc. stock price today?
Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) stock price is $75.58 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does Uber Technologies, Inc. do?
Uber Technologies, Inc. develops and operates proprietary technology applications in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight.
What is Uber Technologies, Inc. market cap?
Uber Technologies, Inc. has a market capitalization of $155.55B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Technology sector.
What sector and industry is UBER in?
Uber Technologies, Inc. operates in the Technology sector, specifically within the Software - Application industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol UBER.
Is UBER stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Uber Technologies, Inc. trades 32.6% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $56.98
- Current Price: $75.58
- Valuation Zone: Overvalued
What is UBER stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 52 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Uber Technologies, Inc. is $103.46, implying upside of 36.9% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $150.00
- Analyst Low Target: $70.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Uber Technologies, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Uber Technologies, Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 12.2%
- EPS growth (current year est.): -28.7%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 14.4%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 28.9%
What are Uber Technologies, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $52.0B | Rising |
| Net Income | $10.1B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $9.8B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 39.8% | Stable |
What is UBER's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 16.0x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 17.6x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 13.6x
How volatile is UBER stock?
Uber Technologies, Inc. has a beta of 1.21, meaning it is somewhat more volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Uber Technologies, Inc. have?
Uber Technologies, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $7.63B
- Total Debt: $12.30B
- Net Cash Position: $-4.67B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Uber Technologies, Inc.'s free cash flow?
Uber Technologies, Inc. generated $6.35B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $10.10B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Uber Technologies, Inc. pay a dividend?
Uber Technologies, Inc. does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Uber Technologies, Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
Uber Technologies, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 3.73, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Uber Technologies, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Uber Technologies, Inc. scores 3.4/5 stars (Narrow moat) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 4/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 3/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is UBER's return on equity (ROE)?
Uber Technologies, Inc.'s return on equity is 39.9%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy UBER stock?
UBER shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol UBER
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is UBER a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Uber Technologies, Inc. as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of Uber Technologies, Inc.?
The current CEO of Uber Technologies, Inc. is Mr. Dara Khosrowshahi.
What is UBER's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $4.73
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $4.29
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $3.37
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $4.34
Other Technology companies analyzed by FairValueLabs
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
UBER analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings