Dynatrace, Inc. (DT) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NYQ · Technology · Software - Application
Is Dynatrace, Inc. a safe investment right now?
Dynatrace, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 5.11 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $35.60 (Fairly Valued). Moat rating: 2.6/5 stars.
Could Dynatrace, Inc. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 5.11 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives DT's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.1329 | 1.2 | 0.16 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 0.0688 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.0433 | 3.3 | 0.14 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 7.1752 | 0.6 | 4.31 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.4103 | 1.0 | 0.41 |
How has DT's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 5.54 | Safe |
| 2023 | 6.02 | Safe |
| 2024 | 5.27 | Safe |
| 2025 | 5.11 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from DT's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is Dynatrace, Inc. actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $0.89 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals (3Q actual) + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $1.59 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $1.68 | 33 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 60.2x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 40.0x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Accelerating | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $48.79 (33 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Dynatrace, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 2.6/5.
What makes up DT's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 3/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is DT's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 5.1% | — |
| 2023 | 5.8% | Stable |
| 2024 | 6.4% | Stable |
| 2025 | 6.9% | Stable |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Dynatrace, Inc.'s dividend safe?
Dynatrace, Inc.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.7B | $1.4B | $0.9B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.5B | $0.2B | $0.1B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.4B | $0.3B | $0.2B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 81.2% | 81.4% | 81.4% | Stable |
Recent events that affect our DT analysis
DT earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $0.39. Revenue estimate: $521.2M. Our current Fair Value: $35.60 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
DT analyst consensus: 74% bullish (26 of 35 analysts)
5 Strong Buy, 21 Buy, 9 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $48.79 (35.0% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $35.60.
DT beat EPS estimates by 7.2%
Reported EPS: $0.44 vs estimate $0.41. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $35.60 (1.5% below current price).
DT beat EPS estimates by 7.5%
Reported EPS: $0.44 vs estimate $0.41. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $35.60 (1.5% below current price).
DT beat EPS estimates by 11.5%
Reported EPS: $0.42 vs estimate $0.38. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $35.60 (1.5% below current price).
DT beat EPS estimates by 9.1%
Reported EPS: $0.33 vs estimate $0.30. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $35.60 (1.5% below current price).
DT beat EPS estimates by 11.7%
Reported EPS: $0.37 vs estimate $0.33. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $35.60 (1.5% below current price).
Common questions about Dynatrace, Inc.
What is Dynatrace, Inc. stock price today?
Dynatrace, Inc. (DT) stock price is $36.14 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does Dynatrace, Inc. do?
Dynatrace, Inc. engages in the advancement of observability for digital businesses, which transforms the complexity of modern digital ecosystems in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. It operates Dynatrace, an AI-powered observability platform, which provides solutions, including infrastructure, application, threat, and AI observability; digital experience; log analytics; application security; software delivery; and business analytics.
What is Dynatrace, Inc. market cap?
Dynatrace, Inc. has a market capitalization of $10.90B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Technology sector.
What sector and industry is DT in?
Dynatrace, Inc. operates in the Technology sector, specifically within the Software - Application industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol DT.
Is DT stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Dynatrace, Inc. trades 1.5% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $35.60
- Current Price: $36.14
- Valuation Zone: Fairly Valued
What is DT stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 33 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Dynatrace, Inc. is $48.79, implying upside of 35.0% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $68.00
- Analyst Low Target: $36.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Dynatrace, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Dynatrace, Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 18.2%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 20.9%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 14.9%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 14.0%
What are Dynatrace, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.7B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.5B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.4B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 81.2% | Stable |
What is DT's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 60.2x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 18.9x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 40.0x
How volatile is DT stock?
Dynatrace, Inc. has a beta of 0.79, meaning it is less volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Dynatrace, Inc. have?
Dynatrace, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $1.19B
- Total Debt: $85.8M
- Net Cash Position: $1.10B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Dynatrace, Inc.'s free cash flow?
Dynatrace, Inc. generated $472.5M in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $498.3M in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Dynatrace, Inc. pay a dividend?
Dynatrace, Inc. does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Dynatrace, Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
Dynatrace, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 5.11, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Dynatrace, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Dynatrace, Inc. scores 2.6/5 stars (Narrow moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 2/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 3/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is DT's return on equity (ROE)?
Dynatrace, Inc.'s return on equity is 7.0%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy DT stock?
DT shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol DT
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is DT a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Dynatrace, Inc. as Value-Speculation. It has some value characteristics but carries elevated risk factors that make it speculative. Extra due diligence is recommended.
Who is the CEO of Dynatrace, Inc.?
The current CEO of Dynatrace, Inc. is Mr. Rick M. McConnell.
What is DT's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $0.60
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $1.92
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $1.68
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $1.91
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FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
DT analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings