Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NMS · Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos
Is Wynn Resorts, Limited a safe investment right now?
Wynn Resorts, Limited's Altman Z-Score of 1.24 places it in the distress zone. Our fair value estimate is $115.89 (Watch Zone). Moat rating: 3.3/5 stars.
Could Wynn Resorts, Limited go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 1.24 falls below the 1.8 distress threshold, indicating significant financial stress.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives WYNN's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.0794 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | -0.1109 | 1.4 | -0.16 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.0869 | 3.3 | 0.29 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 0.7865 | 0.6 | 0.47 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.5445 | 1.0 | 0.54 |
How has WYNN's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0.63 | Distress |
| 2023 | 1.12 | Distress |
| 2024 | 1.31 | Distress |
| 2025 | 1.24 | Distress |
Source: Calculated from WYNN's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is Wynn Resorts, Limited actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $4.01 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $3.14 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $5.31 | 18 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 34.0x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 28.9x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Accelerating | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $140.44 (18 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Wynn Resorts, Limited have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 3.3/5.
What makes up WYNN's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 3/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is WYNN's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -0.4% | — |
| 2023 | 9.0% | Rising |
| 2024 | 12.9% | Rising |
| 2025 | 11.1% | Declining |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Wynn Resorts, Limited's dividend safe?
Can Wynn Resorts, Limited afford its dividend?
Payout ratio is 31.9%. FCF covers the dividend -265.5x. 18 consecutive years of payments.
Wynn Resorts, Limited's key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.1B | $7.1B | $3.8B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.3B | $0.5B | −$0.4B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.7B | $1.0B | −$0.4B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 41.4% | 43.5% | 36.4% | Rising |
Recent events that affect our WYNN analysis
WYNN earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $1.26. Revenue estimate: $1.83B. Our current Fair Value: $115.89 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
WYNN analyst consensus: 100% bullish (19 of 19 analysts)
4 Strong Buy, 15 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $140.44 (31.7% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $115.89.
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN paid $0.2500/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 31.9%.
WYNN missed EPS estimates by 20.7%
Reported EPS: $1.17 vs estimate $1.48. Our Fair Value of $115.89 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN paid $0.2500/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 31.9%.
WYNN missed EPS estimates by 25.4%
Reported EPS: $0.86 vs estimate $1.15. Our Fair Value of $115.89 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
WYNN filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN paid $0.2500/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 31.9%.
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN missed EPS estimates by 8.8%
Reported EPS: $1.09 vs estimate $1.20. Our Fair Value of $115.89 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
WYNN filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN paid $0.2500/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 31.9%.
WYNN missed EPS estimates by 14.0%
Reported EPS: $1.07 vs estimate $1.24. Our Fair Value of $115.89 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
WYNN filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN paid $0.2500/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 31.9%.
WYNN beat EPS estimates by 65.9%
Reported EPS: $2.29 vs estimate $1.38. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $115.89 (8.7% above current price).
WYNN filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WYNN filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Wynn Resorts, Limited
What is Wynn Resorts, Limited stock price today?
Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) stock price is $106.64 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does Wynn Resorts, Limited do?
Wynn Resorts, Limited designs, develops, and operates integrated resorts. It operates in four segments: Wynn Palace, Wynn Macau, Las Vegas Operations, and Encore Boston Harbor. The Wynn Palace segment operates casino space, private gaming salons, and sky casinos; a luxury hotel tower with suites and villas, as well as a health club, spa, salon, and pool; food and beverage outlets; retail space; meeting and convention space; and a performance lake, an immersive entertainment center, Western and Asian art displays, and a gondola ride.
What is Wynn Resorts, Limited market cap?
Wynn Resorts, Limited has a market capitalization of $11.12B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
What sector and industry is WYNN in?
Wynn Resorts, Limited operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically within the Resorts & Casinos industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol WYNN.
Is WYNN stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Wynn Resorts, Limited trades 8.0% below our fair value estimate — potentially undervalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $115.89
- Current Price: $106.64
- Valuation Zone: Watch Zone
What is WYNN stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 18 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Wynn Resorts, Limited is $140.44, implying upside of 31.7% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $152.00
- Analyst Low Target: $118.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Wynn Resorts, Limited revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Wynn Resorts, Limited:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 4.5%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 26.7%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 4.9%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 21.4%
What are Wynn Resorts, Limited's key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.1B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.3B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.7B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 41.4% | Rising |
What is WYNN's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 34.0x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 18.5x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 28.9x
How volatile is WYNN stock?
Wynn Resorts, Limited has a beta of 1.03, meaning it is roughly in line with overall market volatility. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Wynn Resorts, Limited have?
Wynn Resorts, Limited's balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $2.07B
- Total Debt: $12.29B
- Net Cash Position: $-10.23B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Wynn Resorts, Limited's free cash flow?
Wynn Resorts, Limited generated $414.5M in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $1.35B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Wynn Resorts, Limited pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, Wynn Resorts, Limited pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 0.9%
- Payout Ratio: 31.9%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 18
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: -41.8%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: B
Is Wynn Resorts, Limited at risk of going bankrupt?
Wynn Resorts, Limited's Altman Z-Score is 1.24, placing it in the distress zone (below 1.8) — elevated bankruptcy risk. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Wynn Resorts, Limited have a durable competitive advantage?
Wynn Resorts, Limited scores 3.3/5 stars (Narrow moat) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 3/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
How do I buy WYNN stock?
WYNN shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol WYNN
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is WYNN a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Wynn Resorts, Limited as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of Wynn Resorts, Limited?
The current CEO of Wynn Resorts, Limited is Mr. Craig Scott Billings.
What is WYNN's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $3.14
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $5.75
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $5.31
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $5.82
Other Consumer Cyclical companies analyzed by FairValueLabs
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
WYNN analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings