Allbirds, Inc. (BIRD) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NMS · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
Is Allbirds, Inc. a safe investment right now?
Allbirds, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of -7.02 places it in the distress zone. Fair value estimate is not available for this stock. Moat rating: 2.6/5 stars.
Could Allbirds, Inc. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of -7.02 falls below the 1.8 distress threshold, indicating significant financial stress.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives BIRD's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.379 | 1.2 | 0.45 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | -5.1344 | 1.4 | -7.19 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | -0.693 | 3.3 | -2.29 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 1.0048 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 1.3934 | 1.0 | 1.39 |
How has BIRD's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0.21 | Distress |
| 2023 | -1.22 | Distress |
| 2024 | -3.17 | Distress |
| 2025 | -7.02 | Distress |
Source: Calculated from BIRD's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is Allbirds, Inc. actually worth?
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Allbirds, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 2.6/5.
What makes up BIRD's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 3/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is BIRD's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -30.4% | — |
| 2023 | -64.1% | Declining |
| 2024 | -92.4% | Declining |
| 2025 | -142.3% | Declining |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Allbirds, Inc.'s dividend safe?
Allbirds, Inc.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0.2B | $0.2B | $0.3B | Declining |
| Net Income | −$0.1B | −$0.1B | −$0.1B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | −$0.1B | −$0.1B | −$0.1B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 41.0% | 42.7% | 43.5% | Declining |
Recent events that affect our BIRD analysis
BIRD earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Revenue estimate: $24.5M.
BIRD analyst consensus: 0% bullish (0 of 1 analysts)
0 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 1 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell.
BIRD filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD beat EPS estimates by 20.0%
Reported EPS: $-1.84 vs estimate $-2.29.
BIRD filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD beat EPS estimates by 10.3%
Reported EPS: $-2.40 vs estimate $-2.67.
BIRD filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD beat EPS estimates by 31.9%
Reported EPS: $-1.92 vs estimate $-2.82.
BIRD filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD beat EPS estimates by 29.9%
Reported EPS: $-2.73 vs estimate $-3.89.
BIRD filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
BIRD beat EPS estimates by 13.2%
Reported EPS: $-3.00 vs estimate $-3.45.
BIRD filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Allbirds, Inc.
What is Allbirds, Inc. stock price today?
Allbirds, Inc. (BIRD) stock price is $8.43 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does Allbirds, Inc. do?
Allbirds, Inc. manufactures and sells footwear and apparel products for men and women in the United States and internationally. It offers a range of lifestyle products; shoes; and apparel, including classic tees and sweats, socks, and underwear.
What is Allbirds, Inc. market cap?
Allbirds, Inc. has a market capitalization of $73.9M, classifying it as a micro-cap stock in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
What sector and industry is BIRD in?
Allbirds, Inc. operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically within the Apparel Retail industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol BIRD.
Is BIRD stock overvalued or undervalued?
We do not have sufficient earnings data to produce a reliable fair value estimate for Allbirds, Inc. at this time. Stocks without stable earnings history are difficult to value using traditional models.
Is Allbirds, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Allbirds, Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): -18.0%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 40.2%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): nan%
- EPS growth (next year est.): nan%
What are Allbirds, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0.2B | Declining |
| Net Income | −$0.1B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | −$0.1B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 41.0% | Declining |
What is BIRD's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): -1.2x
How volatile is BIRD stock?
Allbirds, Inc. has a beta of 1.86, meaning it is significantly more volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Allbirds, Inc. have?
Allbirds, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $26.7M
- Total Debt: $39.6M
- Net Cash Position: $-12.9M
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Allbirds, Inc.'s free cash flow?
Allbirds, Inc. generated $-25.8M in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $-55.1M in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Allbirds, Inc. pay a dividend?
Allbirds, Inc. does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Allbirds, Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
Allbirds, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is -7.02, placing it in the distress zone (below 1.8) — elevated bankruptcy risk. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Allbirds, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Allbirds, Inc. scores 2.6/5 stars (Narrow moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 2/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 3/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is BIRD's return on equity (ROE)?
Allbirds, Inc.'s return on equity is -112.3%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy BIRD stock?
BIRD shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol BIRD
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is BIRD a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Allbirds, Inc. as Pure Speculation. It lacks the financial stability or valuation margin typically required for value investing. This stock is considered high risk.
Who is the CEO of Allbirds, Inc.?
The current CEO of Allbirds, Inc. is Mr. Joe Vernachio.
What is BIRD's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $-9.47
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $-6.94
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $-5.31
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $nan
Other Consumer Cyclical companies analyzed by FairValueLabs
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
BIRD analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings