Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NYQ · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Is Restaurant Brands International Inc. a safe investment right now?
Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 1.8 places it in the gray zone. Our fair value estimate is $77.27 (Fairly Valued). Moat rating: 3.1/5 stars.
Could Restaurant Brands International Inc. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 1.8 places the company in the gray zone (1.8-3.0), warranting closer scrutiny.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives QSR's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | -0.0024 | 1.2 | -0.0 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 0.0701 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.0861 | 3.3 | 0.28 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 1.7605 | 0.6 | 1.06 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.3683 | 1.0 | 0.37 |
How has QSR's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1.79 | Distress |
| 2023 | 1.84 | Gray |
| 2024 | 1.86 | Gray |
| 2025 | 1.8 | Gray |
Source: Calculated from QSR's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is Restaurant Brands International Inc. actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $3.03 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $2.35 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $4.06 | 28 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 30.0x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 25.5x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Accelerating | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $81.46 (28 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Restaurant Brands International Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 3.1/5.
What makes up QSR's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is QSR's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 12.1% | — |
| 2023 | 12.9% | Stable |
| 2024 | 14.3% | Rising |
| 2025 | 13.0% | Declining |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s dividend safe?
Can Restaurant Brands International Inc. afford its dividend?
Payout ratio is 94.3%. FCF covers the dividend 1.4x. 12 consecutive years of payments.
Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.4B | $8.4B | $6.5B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.8B | $1.0B | $1.0B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.4B | $1.3B | $1.4B | Stable |
| Gross Margin | 33.9% | 36.0% | 39.9% | Declining |
Recent events that affect our QSR analysis
QSR earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $0.83. Revenue estimate: $2.24B. Our current Fair Value: $77.27 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
QSR analyst consensus: 68% bullish (21 of 31 analysts)
4 Strong Buy, 17 Buy, 9 Hold, 0 Sell, 1 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $81.46 (3.1% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $77.27.
QSR paid $0.6500/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 94.3%.
QSR filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
QSR missed EPS estimates by 63.4%
Reported EPS: $0.34 vs estimate $0.93. Our Fair Value of $77.27 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
QSR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
QSR paid $0.6200/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 94.3%.
QSR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
QSR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
QSR beat EPS estimates by 0.5%
Reported EPS: $0.96 vs estimate $0.96. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $77.27 (2.2% below current price).
QSR filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
QSR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
QSR paid $0.6200/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 94.3%.
QSR missed EPS estimates by 39.2%
Reported EPS: $0.57 vs estimate $0.94. Our Fair Value of $77.27 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
QSR filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
QSR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
QSR paid $0.6200/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 94.3%.
QSR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
QSR missed EPS estimates by 4.1%
Reported EPS: $0.75 vs estimate $0.78. Our Fair Value of $77.27 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
QSR filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
QSR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
QSR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
QSR paid $0.6200/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 94.3%.
QSR filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
QSR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
QSR beat EPS estimates by 2.3%
Reported EPS: $0.81 vs estimate $0.79. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $77.27 (2.2% below current price).
QSR filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Restaurant Brands International Inc.
What is Restaurant Brands International Inc. stock price today?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) stock price is $79.00 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does Restaurant Brands International Inc. do?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. operates as a quick service restaurant company in Canada, the United States, and internationally. It operates through six segments: Tim Hortons, Burger King, Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen, Firehouse Subs, International, and Restaurant Holdings.
What is Restaurant Brands International Inc. market cap?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. has a market capitalization of $36.01B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
What sector and industry is QSR in?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically within the Restaurants industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol QSR.
Is QSR stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Restaurant Brands International Inc. trades 2.2% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $77.27
- Current Price: $79.00
- Valuation Zone: Fairly Valued
What is QSR stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 28 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Restaurant Brands International Inc. is $81.46, implying upside of 3.1% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $96.00
- Analyst Low Target: $63.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Restaurant Brands International Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Restaurant Brands International Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 4.4%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 9.9%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 2.0%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 8.5%
What are Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.4B | Rising |
| Net Income | $0.8B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.4B | Stable |
| Gross Margin | 33.9% | Declining |
What is QSR's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 30.0x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 17.9x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 25.5x
How volatile is QSR stock?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. has a beta of 0.53, meaning it is less volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Restaurant Brands International Inc. have?
Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $1.17B
- Total Debt: $15.68B
- Net Cash Position: $-14.51B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s free cash flow?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. generated $1.39B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $1.57B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Restaurant Brands International Inc. pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, Restaurant Brands International Inc. pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 3.1%
- Payout Ratio: 94.3%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 12
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: -21.1%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: B
Is Restaurant Brands International Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 1.80, placing it in the gray zone (1.8–3.0) — some financial uncertainty. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Restaurant Brands International Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Restaurant Brands International Inc. scores 3.1/5 stars (Narrow moat) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 4/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 2/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is QSR's return on equity (ROE)?
Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s return on equity is 24.0%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy QSR stock?
QSR shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol QSR
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is QSR a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Restaurant Brands International Inc. as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of Restaurant Brands International Inc.?
The current CEO of Restaurant Brands International Inc. is Mr. Joshua Kobza.
What is QSR's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $2.63
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $4.40
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $4.06
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $4.40
Other Consumer Cyclical companies analyzed by FairValueLabs
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
QSR analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings