Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NYQ · Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos
Is Las Vegas Sands Corp. a safe investment right now?
Las Vegas Sands Corp.'s Altman Z-Score of 2.5 places it in the gray zone. Our fair value estimate is $54.80 (Fairly Valued). Moat rating: 3.7/5 stars.
Could Las Vegas Sands Corp. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 2.5 places the company in the gray zone (1.8-3.0), warranting closer scrutiny.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives LVS's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.0278 | 1.2 | 0.03 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 0.2001 | 1.4 | 0.28 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.135 | 3.3 | 0.45 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 1.9112 | 0.6 | 1.15 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.5938 | 1.0 | 0.59 |
How has LVS's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1.59 | Distress |
| 2023 | 2.41 | Gray |
| 2024 | 2.43 | Gray |
| 2025 | 2.5 | Gray |
Source: Calculated from LVS's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is Las Vegas Sands Corp. actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $2.66 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $2.35 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $3.12 | 19 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 24.2x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 20.6x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Accelerating | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $69.14 (19 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Las Vegas Sands Corp. have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 3.7/5.
What makes up LVS's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is LVS's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -3.5% | — |
| 2023 | 14.3% | Rising |
| 2024 | 16.2% | Rising |
| 2025 | 17.0% | Stable |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Las Vegas Sands Corp.'s dividend safe?
Can Las Vegas Sands Corp. afford its dividend?
Payout ratio is 42.5%. FCF covers the dividend 0.0x. 13 consecutive years of payments.
Las Vegas Sands Corp.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.0B | $11.3B | $4.1B | Rising |
| Net Income | $1.6B | $1.4B | $1.8B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.8B | $1.6B | −$1.6B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 49.8% | 48.9% | 40.2% | Rising |
Recent events that affect our LVS analysis
LVS analyst consensus: 70% bullish (14 of 20 analysts)
2 Strong Buy, 12 Buy, 6 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $69.14 (21.6% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $54.80.
LVS beat EPS estimates by 20.1%
Reported EPS: $0.91 vs estimate $0.76. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $54.80 (3.6% below current price).
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS paid $0.3000/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 42.5%.
LVS filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS beat EPS estimates by 10.5%
Reported EPS: $0.85 vs estimate $0.77. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $54.80 (3.6% below current price).
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS paid $0.2500/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 42.5%.
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS beat EPS estimates by 25.4%
Reported EPS: $0.78 vs estimate $0.62. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $54.80 (3.6% below current price).
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS paid $0.2500/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 42.5%.
LVS filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS beat EPS estimates by 48.9%
Reported EPS: $0.79 vs estimate $0.53. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $54.80 (3.6% below current price).
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS paid $0.2500/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 42.5%.
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS beat EPS estimates by 3.8%
Reported EPS: $0.59 vs estimate $0.57. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $54.80 (3.6% below current price).
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS paid $0.2500/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 42.5%.
LVS filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS missed EPS estimates by 6.3%
Reported EPS: $0.54 vs estimate $0.58. Our Fair Value of $54.80 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LVS filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Las Vegas Sands Corp.
What is Las Vegas Sands Corp. stock price today?
Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS) stock price is $56.85 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does Las Vegas Sands Corp. do?
Las Vegas Sands Corp., together with its subsidiaries, owns, develops, and operates integrated resorts in Macao and Singapore. It owns and operates The Venetian Macao Resort Hotel, The Londoner Macao, The Parisian Macao, The Plaza Macao and Four Seasons Hotel Macao, and The Sands Macao in Macao, the People's Republic of China; and Marina Bay Sands in Singapore. The company's integrated resorts feature accommodations, gaming, entertainment and retail malls, convention and exhibition facilities, celebrity chef restaurants, and other amenities.
What is Las Vegas Sands Corp. market cap?
Las Vegas Sands Corp. has a market capitalization of $38.20B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
What sector and industry is LVS in?
Las Vegas Sands Corp. operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically within the Resorts & Casinos industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol LVS.
Is LVS stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Las Vegas Sands Corp. trades 3.7% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $54.80
- Current Price: $56.85
- Valuation Zone: Fairly Valued
What is LVS stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 19 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Las Vegas Sands Corp. is $69.14, implying upside of 21.6% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $78.50
- Analyst Low Target: $58.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Las Vegas Sands Corp. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Las Vegas Sands Corp.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 6.2%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 3.6%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 4.7%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 12.9%
What are Las Vegas Sands Corp.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.0B | Rising |
| Net Income | $1.6B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.8B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 49.8% | Rising |
What is LVS's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 24.2x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 16.1x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 20.6x
How volatile is LVS stock?
Las Vegas Sands Corp. has a beta of 0.89, meaning it is less volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Las Vegas Sands Corp. have?
Las Vegas Sands Corp.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $3.84B
- Total Debt: $16.03B
- Net Cash Position: $-12.19B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Las Vegas Sands Corp.'s free cash flow?
Las Vegas Sands Corp. generated $1.97B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $3.02B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Las Vegas Sands Corp. pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, Las Vegas Sands Corp. pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 1.8%
- Payout Ratio: 42.5%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 13
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: -37.2%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: B
Is Las Vegas Sands Corp. at risk of going bankrupt?
Las Vegas Sands Corp.'s Altman Z-Score is 2.50, placing it in the gray zone (1.8–3.0) — some financial uncertainty. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Las Vegas Sands Corp. have a durable competitive advantage?
Las Vegas Sands Corp. scores 3.7/5 stars (Solid moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 4/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is LVS's return on equity (ROE)?
Las Vegas Sands Corp.'s return on equity is 73.3%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy LVS stock?
LVS shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol LVS
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is LVS a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Las Vegas Sands Corp. as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of Las Vegas Sands Corp.?
The current CEO of Las Vegas Sands Corp. is Mr. Patrick Dumont.
What is LVS's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $2.35
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $3.52
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $3.12
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $3.52
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FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
LVS analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings