GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NYQ · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Is GE Vernova Inc. a safe investment right now?
GE Vernova Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 4.39 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $500.18 (Overvalued). Moat rating: 2.9/5 stars.
Could GE Vernova Inc. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 4.39 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives GEV's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | -0.012 | 1.2 | -0.01 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 0.0977 | 1.4 | 0.14 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.022 | 3.3 | 0.07 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 5.9919 | 0.6 | 3.6 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.6041 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
How has GEV's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 6.04 | Safe |
| 2023 | 5.5 | Safe |
| 2024 | 5.27 | Safe |
| 2025 | 4.39 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from GEV's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is GE Vernova Inc. actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $17.80 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals (4Q actual) + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $5.58 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $14.77 | 32 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 33.0x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 28.1x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Declining | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $964.10 (32 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does GE Vernova Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 2.9/5.
What makes up GEV's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is GEV's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -20.9% | — |
| 2023 | -0.4% | Rising |
| 2024 | 4.8% | Rising |
| 2025 | 12.1% | Rising |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is GE Vernova Inc.'s dividend safe?
Can GE Vernova Inc. afford its dividend?
Payout ratio is 5.1%. FCF covers the dividend 0.0x. 3 consecutive years of payments.
GE Vernova Inc.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $38.1B | $34.9B | $29.7B | Rising |
| Net Income | $4.9B | $1.6B | −$2.7B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.7B | $1.7B | −$0.6B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 19.8% | 17.4% | 11.7% | Rising |
Recent events that affect our GEV analysis
GEV analyst consensus: 82% bullish (28 of 34 analysts)
6 Strong Buy, 22 Buy, 5 Hold, 1 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $964.10 (14.5% downside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $500.18.
GEV beat EPS estimates by 771.6%
Reported EPS: $17.44 vs estimate $2.00. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $500.18 (55.6% below current price).
GEV filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
GEV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
GEV paid $0.5000/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: C. Payout ratio: 5.1%.
GEV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
GEV filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
GEV beat EPS estimates by 316.1%
Reported EPS: $13.39 vs estimate $3.22. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $500.18 (55.6% below current price).
GEV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
GEV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
GEV paid $0.5000/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: C. Payout ratio: 5.1%.
GEV missed EPS estimates by 11.7%
Reported EPS: $1.64 vs estimate $1.86. Our Fair Value of $500.18 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
GEV filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
GEV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
GEV paid $0.2500/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: C. Payout ratio: 5.1%.
GEV beat EPS estimates by 14.3%
Reported EPS: $1.86 vs estimate $1.63. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $500.18 (55.6% below current price).
GEV filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
GEV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
GEV paid $0.2500/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: C. Payout ratio: 5.1%.
GEV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
GEV beat EPS estimates by 49.1%
Reported EPS: $0.91 vs estimate $0.61. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $500.18 (55.6% below current price).
GEV filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
GEV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
GEV paid $0.2500/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: C. Payout ratio: 5.1%.
GEV filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
GEV missed EPS estimates by 30.6%
Reported EPS: $1.73 vs estimate $2.49. Our Fair Value of $500.18 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
GEV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about GE Vernova Inc.
What is GE Vernova Inc. stock price today?
GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) stock price is $1127.56 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does GE Vernova Inc. do?
GE Vernova Inc., an energy company, engages in the provision of various products and services that generate, transfer, orchestrate, convert, and store electricity in the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates through three segments: Power, Wind, and Electrification. The Power segment designs, manufactures, and services gas, nuclear, hydro, and steam technologies.
What is GE Vernova Inc. market cap?
GE Vernova Inc. has a market capitalization of $303.91B, classifying it as a mega-cap stock in the Industrials sector.
What sector and industry is GEV in?
GE Vernova Inc. operates in the Industrials sector, specifically within the Specialty Industrial Machinery industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol GEV.
Is GEV stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, GE Vernova Inc. trades 125.4% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $500.18
- Current Price: $1127.56
- Valuation Zone: Overvalued
What is GEV stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 32 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for GE Vernova Inc. is $964.10, implying downside of 14.5% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $1225.00
- Analyst Low Target: $600.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is GE Vernova Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for GE Vernova Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 17.2%
- EPS growth (current year est.): -16.5%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 13.9%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 55.0%
What are GE Vernova Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $38.1B | Rising |
| Net Income | $4.9B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.7B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 19.8% | Rising |
What is GEV's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 33.0x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 48.3x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 28.1x
How volatile is GEV stock?
GE Vernova Inc. has a beta of 1.00, meaning it is roughly in line with overall market volatility. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does GE Vernova Inc. have?
GE Vernova Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $10.17B
- Total Debt: $2.81B
- Net Cash Position: $7.37B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is GE Vernova Inc.'s free cash flow?
GE Vernova Inc. generated $9.68B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $9.01B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does GE Vernova Inc. pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, GE Vernova Inc. pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 0.1%
- Payout Ratio: 5.1%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 3
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: 0.0%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: C
Is GE Vernova Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
GE Vernova Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 4.39, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does GE Vernova Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
GE Vernova Inc. scores 2.9/5 stars (Narrow moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 2/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is GEV's return on equity (ROE)?
GE Vernova Inc.'s return on equity is 75.7%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy GEV stock?
GEV shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol GEV
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is GEV a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies GE Vernova Inc. as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of GE Vernova Inc.?
The current CEO of GE Vernova Inc. is Mr. Scott L. Strazik.
What is GEV's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $34.17
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $23.35
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $14.77
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $22.88
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FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
GEV analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings