Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NCM · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Is Rocket Lab Corporation a safe investment right now?
Rocket Lab Corporation's Altman Z-Score of 51.72 places it in the safe zone. Fair value estimate is not available for this stock. Moat rating: 2.9/5 stars.
Could Rocket Lab Corporation go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 51.72 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives RKLB's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.4436 | 1.2 | 0.53 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | -0.4353 | 1.4 | -0.61 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | -0.0858 | 3.3 | -0.28 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 86.3675 | 0.6 | 51.82 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.2589 | 1.0 | 0.26 |
How has RKLB's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 98.63 | Safe |
| 2023 | 79.85 | Safe |
| 2024 | 38.25 | Safe |
| 2025 | 51.72 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from RKLB's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is Rocket Lab Corporation actually worth?
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Rocket Lab Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 2.9/5.
What makes up RKLB's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is RKLB's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -16.1% | — |
| 2023 | -24.5% | Declining |
| 2024 | -20.8% | Rising |
| 2025 | -10.6% | Rising |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Rocket Lab Corporation's dividend safe?
Rocket Lab Corporation's key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0.6B | $0.4B | $0.2B | Rising |
| Net Income | −$0.2B | −$0.2B | −$0.1B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | −$0.3B | −$0.1B | −$0.1B | Declining |
| Gross Margin | 34.4% | 26.6% | 9.0% | Rising |
Recent events that affect our RKLB analysis
RKLB earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $-0.04. Revenue estimate: $189.4M.
RKLB analyst consensus: 71% bullish (12 of 17 analysts)
3 Strong Buy, 9 Buy, 5 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $87.56 (2.8% downside).
RKLB beat EPS estimates by 8.2%
Reported EPS: $-0.09 vs estimate $-0.10.
RKLB beat EPS estimates by 66.8%
Reported EPS: $-0.02 vs estimate $-0.06.
RKLB missed EPS estimates by 2.2%
Reported EPS: $-0.08 vs estimate $-0.08.
RKLB beat EPS estimates by 0.5%
Reported EPS: $-0.12 vs estimate $-0.12.
RKLB beat EPS estimates by 18.2%
Reported EPS: $-0.06 vs estimate $-0.07.
Common questions about Rocket Lab Corporation
What is Rocket Lab Corporation stock price today?
Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) stock price is $90.04 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does Rocket Lab Corporation do?
Rocket Lab Corporation, a space company, provides launch services and space systems solutions in the United States, Canada, Japan, and internationally. It operates through launch services and space systems segments. It provides launch services, spacecraft design services, spacecraft components, spacecraft manufacturing, optical systems, and other spacecraft and on-orbit management solutions and constellation management services, as well as designs and manufactures small and medium-class rockets and develops flight and ground software.
What is Rocket Lab Corporation market cap?
Rocket Lab Corporation has a market capitalization of $52.05B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Industrials sector.
What sector and industry is RKLB in?
Rocket Lab Corporation operates in the Industrials sector, specifically within the Aerospace & Defense industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol RKLB.
Is RKLB stock overvalued or undervalued?
We do not have sufficient earnings data to produce a reliable fair value estimate for Rocket Lab Corporation at this time. Stocks without stable earnings history are difficult to value using traditional models.
What is RKLB stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 15 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Rocket Lab Corporation is $87.56, implying downside of 2.8% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $105.00
- Analyst Low Target: $60.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Rocket Lab Corporation revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Rocket Lab Corporation:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 41.8%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 39.3%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 45.9%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 103.0%
What are Rocket Lab Corporation's key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0.6B | Rising |
| Net Income | −$0.2B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | −$0.3B | Declining |
| Gross Margin | 34.4% | Rising |
What is RKLB's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 1756.9x
How volatile is RKLB stock?
Rocket Lab Corporation has a beta of 2.21, meaning it is significantly more volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Rocket Lab Corporation have?
Rocket Lab Corporation's balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $1.02B
- Total Debt: $265.1M
- Net Cash Position: $751.5M
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Rocket Lab Corporation's free cash flow?
Rocket Lab Corporation generated $-270.7M in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $-165.5M in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Rocket Lab Corporation pay a dividend?
Rocket Lab Corporation does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Rocket Lab Corporation at risk of going bankrupt?
Rocket Lab Corporation's Altman Z-Score is 51.72, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Rocket Lab Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?
Rocket Lab Corporation scores 2.9/5 stars (Narrow moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 2/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is RKLB's return on equity (ROE)?
Rocket Lab Corporation's return on equity is -18.8%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy RKLB stock?
RKLB shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol RKLB
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is RKLB a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Rocket Lab Corporation as Pure Speculation. It lacks the financial stability or valuation margin typically required for value investing. This stock is considered high risk.
Who is the CEO of Rocket Lab Corporation?
The current CEO of Rocket Lab Corporation is Sir Peter Beck.
What is RKLB's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $-0.37
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $0.05
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $-0.22
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $0.01
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FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
RKLB analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings