FairValueLabs Valuation System Value Investment
MNST

Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating

NMS · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

$75.95 Fairly Valued 0.68 (0.9%) As of Apr 22, 2026 Not a buy/sell recommendation. See disclaimer.
Overall Verdict Safe Zone
29.11
Altman Z-ScoreSafe Zone
$68.60
Fair ValueFairly Valued (-10.7%)
3.7
Moat RatingSolid moat · eroding
TL;DR · Audit Summary

Is Monster Beverage Corporation a safe investment right now?

Monster Beverage Corporation's Altman Z-Score of 29.11 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $68.60 (Fairly Valued). Moat rating: 3.7/5 stars.

Price Chart · MNST
Section 01 · Financial Health

Could Monster Beverage Corporation go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis

29.11

Z-Score of 29.11 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.

  • Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
  • 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
  • Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)

What drives MNST's Z-Score?

Altman Z-Score components for MNST
ComponentFormulaValueWeightContribution
A · Working Capital / Total AssetsWC / TA0.39181.20.47
B · Retained Earnings / Total AssetsRE / TA0.93651.41.31
C · EBIT / Total AssetsEBIT / TA0.24223.30.8
D · Market Cap / Total LiabilitiesMCap / TL42.8280.625.7
E · Revenue / Total AssetsRev / TA0.83041.00.83

How has MNST's financial health changed over time?

3.0 Safe1.8 Distress0.011.122.233.344.42022202320242025
MNST Z-Score history
YearZ-ScoreZone
202238.61Safe
202333.39Safe
202428.85Safe
202529.11Safe

Source: Calculated from MNST's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.

Section 02 · Fair Value Estimate

What is Monster Beverage Corporation actually worth?

FVL Fair Value$68.60
vs
Market Price$75.95
Fairly Valued -10.7% Stock trades 10.7% above our estimated fair value of $68.60.

How we calculated this

FVL Valuation Model
InputValueSource
Predicted EPS (α)$2.06Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α
Last Year EPS$1.94Annual report (SEC EDGAR)
Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year)$2.2423 analysts consensus
Trailing P/E39.1xCurrent market pricing
Fair P/E (β discount)33.3xTrailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped
Earnings Trend (γ)GrowingDirectional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS

Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $85.55 (23 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.

Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.

Section 03 · Competitive Moat

Does Monster Beverage Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?

★★★½☆
Solid moat · eroding

Moat rating: 3.7/5.

What makes up MNST's moat score?

ROIC Stability

★★★★☆

ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.

Gross Margin Trend

★★★★☆

Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.

Switching Costs

★★★☆☆

Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.

How stable is MNST's return on invested capital?

0%-5%5%15%25%35%2022202320242025
MNST ROIC history
YearROICTrend
202222.6%
202323.7%Rising
202430.5%Rising
202529.3%Declining

Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.

Section 04 · Dividend Safety

Is Monster Beverage Corporation's dividend safe?

Status Suspended Monster Beverage Corporation has suspended its dividend. No payout is currently being made to shareholders.
Section 05 · Financial Summary

Monster Beverage Corporation's key financial metrics

MNST financial summary
MetricLatest1Y Ago3Y AgoTrend
Revenue $8.3B $7.5B $6.3B Rising
Net Income $1.9B $1.5B $1.2B Rising
Free Cash Flow $1.9B $1.6B $0.7B Rising
Gross Margin 55.9% 54.0% 50.3% Rising
Section 06 · Lab Signals

Recent events that affect our MNST analysis

EARNINGS

MNST earnings report scheduled

Lab Impact

Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $0.52. Revenue estimate: $2.15B. Our current Fair Value: $68.60 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.

ANALYST

MNST analyst consensus: 54% bullish (14 of 26 analysts)

Lab Impact

3 Strong Buy, 11 Buy, 11 Hold, 0 Sell, 1 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $85.55 (12.6% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $68.60.

FILING

MNST filed annual report (10-K)

Lab Impact

Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →

EARNINGS

MNST missed EPS estimates by 4.5%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $0.46 vs estimate $0.48. Our Fair Value of $68.60 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.

FILING

MNST filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

MNST filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

MNST filed quarterly report (10-Q)

Lab Impact

Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →

EARNINGS

MNST beat EPS estimates by 9.2%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $0.53 vs estimate $0.49. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $68.60 (9.7% below current price).

FILING

MNST filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

MNST filed quarterly report (10-Q)

Lab Impact

Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →

EARNINGS

MNST beat EPS estimates by 4.1%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $0.50 vs estimate $0.48. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $68.60 (9.7% below current price).

FILING

MNST filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

MNST filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

MNST filed quarterly report (10-Q)

Lab Impact

Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →

EARNINGS

MNST missed EPS estimates by 2.7%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $0.45 vs estimate $0.46. Our Fair Value of $68.60 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.

FILING

MNST filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

MNST filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

MNST filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

MNST filed annual report (10-K)

Lab Impact

Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →

EARNINGS

MNST missed EPS estimates by 29.9%

Lab Impact

Reported EPS: $0.28 vs estimate $0.40. Our Fair Value of $68.60 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.

FILING

MNST filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

FILING

MNST filed 8-K (material event)

Lab Impact

8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →

Section 07 · FAQ

Common questions about Monster Beverage Corporation

What is Monster Beverage Corporation stock price today?

Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) stock price is $75.95 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.

What does Monster Beverage Corporation do?

Monster Beverage Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in development, marketing, sale, and distribution of energy drink beverages and concentrates in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Monster Energy Drinks, Strategic Brands, Alcohol Brands, and Other. It offers carbonated non-carbonated energy drinks, ready-to-drink iced teas, lemonades, juice cocktails, single-serve juices and fruit beverages, ready-to-drink dairy and coffee drinks, energy drinks, sports drinks and single-serve still waters, and sodas that are considered natural, sparkling juices, and flavored sparkling beverages.

What is Monster Beverage Corporation market cap?

Monster Beverage Corporation has a market capitalization of $74.30B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Consumer Defensive sector.

What sector and industry is MNST in?

Monster Beverage Corporation operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically within the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol MNST.

Is MNST stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on our valuation model, Monster Beverage Corporation trades 10.7% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.

  • FairValueLabs Fair Value: $68.60
  • Current Price: $75.95
  • Valuation Zone: Fairly Valued
What is MNST stock forecast and analyst target price?

Based on 23 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Monster Beverage Corporation is $85.55, implying upside of 12.6% from the current price.

  • Analyst High Target: $100.00
  • Analyst Low Target: $64.00

Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.

Is Monster Beverage Corporation revenue and earnings growing?

Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Monster Beverage Corporation:

  • Revenue growth (current year est.): 10.9%
  • EPS growth (current year est.): 15.4%
  • Revenue growth (next year est.): 8.5%
  • EPS growth (next year est.): 13.4%
What are Monster Beverage Corporation's key financial metrics?
MetricLatestTrend
Revenue$8.3BRising
Net Income$1.9BRising
Free Cash Flow$1.9BRising
Gross Margin55.9%Rising
What is MNST's P/E ratio?

The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:

  • Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 39.1x
  • Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 29.9x
  • FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 33.3x
How volatile is MNST stock?

Monster Beverage Corporation has a beta of 0.51, meaning it is less volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.

How much cash and debt does Monster Beverage Corporation have?

Monster Beverage Corporation's balance sheet shows:

  • Total Cash: $2.77B
  • Total Debt: $66.0M
  • Net Cash Position: $2.70B

A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.

What is Monster Beverage Corporation's free cash flow?

Monster Beverage Corporation generated $1.51B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $2.10B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.

Does Monster Beverage Corporation pay a dividend?

Monster Beverage Corporation does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.

Is Monster Beverage Corporation at risk of going bankrupt?

Monster Beverage Corporation's Altman Z-Score is 29.11, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.

Does Monster Beverage Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?

Monster Beverage Corporation scores 3.7/5 stars (Solid moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:

  • ROIC Stability: 4/5
  • Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
  • Switching Costs: 3/5

A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.

What is MNST's return on equity (ROE)?

Monster Beverage Corporation's return on equity is 26.8%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.

How do I buy MNST stock?

MNST shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:

  1. Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
  2. Search for ticker symbol MNST
  3. Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares

This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.

Is MNST a value stock or speculative?

FairValueLabs classifies Monster Beverage Corporation as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.

Who is the CEO of Monster Beverage Corporation?

The current CEO of Monster Beverage Corporation is Mr. Hilton H. Schlosberg.

What is MNST's earnings per share (EPS)?

Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:

  • Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $1.94
  • Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $2.54
  • Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $2.24
  • Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $2.54

FairValueLabs Disclaimer

All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.

This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.

MNST analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings