Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NMS · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Is Monster Beverage Corporation a safe investment right now?
Monster Beverage Corporation's Altman Z-Score of 29.11 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $68.60 (Fairly Valued). Moat rating: 3.7/5 stars.
Could Monster Beverage Corporation go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 29.11 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives MNST's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.3918 | 1.2 | 0.47 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 0.9365 | 1.4 | 1.31 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.2422 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 42.828 | 0.6 | 25.7 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.8304 | 1.0 | 0.83 |
How has MNST's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 38.61 | Safe |
| 2023 | 33.39 | Safe |
| 2024 | 28.85 | Safe |
| 2025 | 29.11 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from MNST's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is Monster Beverage Corporation actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $2.06 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $1.94 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $2.24 | 23 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 39.1x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 33.3x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Growing | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $85.55 (23 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Monster Beverage Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 3.7/5.
What makes up MNST's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is MNST's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22.6% | — |
| 2023 | 23.7% | Rising |
| 2024 | 30.5% | Rising |
| 2025 | 29.3% | Declining |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Monster Beverage Corporation's dividend safe?
Monster Beverage Corporation's key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.3B | $7.5B | $6.3B | Rising |
| Net Income | $1.9B | $1.5B | $1.2B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.9B | $1.6B | $0.7B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 55.9% | 54.0% | 50.3% | Rising |
Recent events that affect our MNST analysis
MNST earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $0.52. Revenue estimate: $2.15B. Our current Fair Value: $68.60 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
MNST analyst consensus: 54% bullish (14 of 26 analysts)
3 Strong Buy, 11 Buy, 11 Hold, 0 Sell, 1 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $85.55 (12.6% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $68.60.
MNST filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
MNST missed EPS estimates by 4.5%
Reported EPS: $0.46 vs estimate $0.48. Our Fair Value of $68.60 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
MNST filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MNST filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MNST filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
MNST beat EPS estimates by 9.2%
Reported EPS: $0.53 vs estimate $0.49. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $68.60 (9.7% below current price).
MNST filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MNST filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
MNST beat EPS estimates by 4.1%
Reported EPS: $0.50 vs estimate $0.48. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $68.60 (9.7% below current price).
MNST filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MNST filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MNST filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
MNST missed EPS estimates by 2.7%
Reported EPS: $0.45 vs estimate $0.46. Our Fair Value of $68.60 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
MNST filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MNST filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MNST filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MNST filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
MNST missed EPS estimates by 29.9%
Reported EPS: $0.28 vs estimate $0.40. Our Fair Value of $68.60 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
MNST filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
MNST filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Monster Beverage Corporation
What is Monster Beverage Corporation stock price today?
Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) stock price is $75.95 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does Monster Beverage Corporation do?
Monster Beverage Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in development, marketing, sale, and distribution of energy drink beverages and concentrates in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Monster Energy Drinks, Strategic Brands, Alcohol Brands, and Other. It offers carbonated non-carbonated energy drinks, ready-to-drink iced teas, lemonades, juice cocktails, single-serve juices and fruit beverages, ready-to-drink dairy and coffee drinks, energy drinks, sports drinks and single-serve still waters, and sodas that are considered natural, sparkling juices, and flavored sparkling beverages.
What is Monster Beverage Corporation market cap?
Monster Beverage Corporation has a market capitalization of $74.30B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Consumer Defensive sector.
What sector and industry is MNST in?
Monster Beverage Corporation operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically within the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol MNST.
Is MNST stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Monster Beverage Corporation trades 10.7% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $68.60
- Current Price: $75.95
- Valuation Zone: Fairly Valued
What is MNST stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 23 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Monster Beverage Corporation is $85.55, implying upside of 12.6% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $100.00
- Analyst Low Target: $64.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Monster Beverage Corporation revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Monster Beverage Corporation:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 10.9%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 15.4%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 8.5%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 13.4%
What are Monster Beverage Corporation's key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.3B | Rising |
| Net Income | $1.9B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.9B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 55.9% | Rising |
What is MNST's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 39.1x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 29.9x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 33.3x
How volatile is MNST stock?
Monster Beverage Corporation has a beta of 0.51, meaning it is less volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Monster Beverage Corporation have?
Monster Beverage Corporation's balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $2.77B
- Total Debt: $66.0M
- Net Cash Position: $2.70B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Monster Beverage Corporation's free cash flow?
Monster Beverage Corporation generated $1.51B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $2.10B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Monster Beverage Corporation pay a dividend?
Monster Beverage Corporation does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Monster Beverage Corporation at risk of going bankrupt?
Monster Beverage Corporation's Altman Z-Score is 29.11, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Monster Beverage Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?
Monster Beverage Corporation scores 3.7/5 stars (Solid moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 4/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is MNST's return on equity (ROE)?
Monster Beverage Corporation's return on equity is 26.8%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy MNST stock?
MNST shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol MNST
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is MNST a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Monster Beverage Corporation as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of Monster Beverage Corporation?
The current CEO of Monster Beverage Corporation is Mr. Hilton H. Schlosberg.
What is MNST's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $1.94
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $2.54
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $2.24
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $2.54
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
MNST analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings