The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NMS · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Is The Kraft Heinz Company a safe investment right now?
The Kraft Heinz Company's Altman Z-Score of 0.45 places it in the distress zone. Fair value estimate is not available for this stock. Moat rating: 2.9/5 stars.
Could The Kraft Heinz Company go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 0.45 falls below the 1.8 distress threshold, indicating significant financial stress.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives KHC's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.0165 | 1.2 | 0.02 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | -0.0566 | 1.4 | -0.08 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | -0.055 | 3.3 | -0.18 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 0.6479 | 0.6 | 0.39 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.305 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
How has KHC's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0.8 | Distress |
| 2023 | 0.86 | Distress |
| 2024 | 0.8 | Distress |
| 2025 | 0.45 | Distress |
Source: Calculated from KHC's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is The Kraft Heinz Company actually worth?
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does The Kraft Heinz Company have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 2.9/5.
What makes up KHC's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is KHC's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 5.7% | — |
| 2023 | 6.5% | Stable |
| 2024 | 2.6% | Declining |
| 2025 | -7.1% | Declining |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is The Kraft Heinz Company's dividend safe?
Can The Kraft Heinz Company afford its dividend?
Payout ratio is 73.1%. FCF covers the dividend 0.8x. 12 consecutive years of payments.
The Kraft Heinz Company's key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $24.9B | $25.8B | $26.5B | Declining |
| Net Income | −$5.8B | $2.7B | $2.4B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.7B | $3.0B | $1.6B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 33.3% | 34.7% | 30.7% | Rising |
Recent events that affect our KHC analysis
KHC earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $0.50. Revenue estimate: $5.87B.
KHC analyst consensus: 5% bullish (1 of 21 analysts)
0 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 16 Hold, 1 Sell, 3 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $24.13 (10.2% upside).
KHC paid $0.4000/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 73.1%.
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC beat EPS estimates by 9.1%
Reported EPS: $0.67 vs estimate $0.61.
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC paid $0.4000/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 73.1%.
KHC beat EPS estimates by 5.8%
Reported EPS: $0.61 vs estimate $0.58.
KHC filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC paid $0.4000/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 73.1%.
KHC beat EPS estimates by 8.4%
Reported EPS: $0.69 vs estimate $0.64.
KHC filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC paid $0.4000/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 73.1%.
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC beat EPS estimates by 3.1%
Reported EPS: $0.62 vs estimate $0.60.
KHC filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC paid $0.4000/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: B. Payout ratio: 73.1%.
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
KHC beat EPS estimates by 7.8%
Reported EPS: $0.84 vs estimate $0.78.
KHC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about The Kraft Heinz Company
What is The Kraft Heinz Company stock price today?
The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) stock price is $21.89 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does The Kraft Heinz Company do?
The Kraft Heinz Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products in North America and internationally. Its products include condiments, sauces, dressings, and spreads; cheese, frozen potato products, and other frozen meals; meal kits, frozen snacks, and pickles; dry packaged desserts, refrigerated ready to eat desserts, and other dessert toppings; ready to drink and powdered beverages, and liquid concentrates; American sliced and recipe cheeses; mainstream coffee, coffee pods, and premium coffee; and cold cuts, bacon, and hot dogs. It offers its products under the Kraft, Oscar Mayer, Heinz, Philadelphia, Lunchables, Velveeta, Ore-Ida, Capri Sun, Maxwell House, Kool-Aid, Jell-O, ABC, Master, Quero, Golden Circle, Wattie's, Pudliszki, and Plasmon brands, as well as Bagel Bites, Claussen, A1, and Cool Whip.
What is The Kraft Heinz Company market cap?
The Kraft Heinz Company has a market capitalization of $25.91B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Consumer Defensive sector.
What sector and industry is KHC in?
The Kraft Heinz Company operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically within the Packaged Foods industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol KHC.
Is KHC stock overvalued or undervalued?
We do not have sufficient earnings data to produce a reliable fair value estimate for The Kraft Heinz Company at this time. Stocks without stable earnings history are difficult to value using traditional models.
What is KHC stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 19 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for The Kraft Heinz Company is $24.13, implying upside of 10.2% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $42.00
- Analyst Low Target: $18.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is The Kraft Heinz Company revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for The Kraft Heinz Company:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): -2.0%
- EPS growth (current year est.): -21.7%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 0.6%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 5.0%
What are The Kraft Heinz Company's key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $24.9B | Declining |
| Net Income | −$5.8B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.7B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 33.3% | Rising |
What is KHC's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 10.2x
How volatile is KHC stock?
The Kraft Heinz Company has a beta of 0.05, meaning it is less volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does The Kraft Heinz Company have?
The Kraft Heinz Company's balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $3.68B
- Total Debt: $21.77B
- Net Cash Position: $-18.10B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is The Kraft Heinz Company's free cash flow?
The Kraft Heinz Company generated $2.78B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $4.46B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does The Kraft Heinz Company pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, The Kraft Heinz Company pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 7.3%
- Payout Ratio: 73.1%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 12
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: -24.2%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: B
Is The Kraft Heinz Company at risk of going bankrupt?
The Kraft Heinz Company's Altman Z-Score is 0.45, placing it in the distress zone (below 1.8) — elevated bankruptcy risk. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does The Kraft Heinz Company have a durable competitive advantage?
The Kraft Heinz Company scores 2.9/5 stars (Narrow moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 2/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is KHC's return on equity (ROE)?
The Kraft Heinz Company's return on equity is -12.8%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy KHC stock?
KHC shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol KHC
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is KHC a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies The Kraft Heinz Company as Value-Speculation. It has some value characteristics but carries elevated risk factors that make it speculative. Extra due diligence is recommended.
Who is the CEO of The Kraft Heinz Company?
The current CEO of The Kraft Heinz Company is Mr. Steven A. Cahillane.
What is KHC's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $-4.93
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $2.14
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $2.04
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $2.14
Other Consumer Defensive companies analyzed by FairValueLabs
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
KHC analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings