Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NYQ · Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream
Is Cheniere Energy, Inc. a safe investment right now?
Cheniere Energy, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 2.34 places it in the gray zone. Our fair value estimate is $187.64 (Overvalued). Moat rating: 3.7/5 stars.
Could Cheniere Energy, Inc. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 2.34 places the company in the gray zone (1.8-3.0), warranting closer scrutiny.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives LNG's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | -0.0047 | 1.2 | -0.01 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 0.2557 | 1.4 | 0.36 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.1928 | 3.3 | 0.64 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 1.5551 | 0.6 | 0.93 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.4172 | 1.0 | 0.42 |
How has LNG's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1.75 | Distress |
| 2023 | 2.85 | Gray |
| 2024 | 2.04 | Gray |
| 2025 | 2.34 | Gray |
Source: Calculated from LNG's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is Cheniere Energy, Inc. actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $20.62 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $24.13 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $15.35 | 22 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 10.7x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 9.1x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Declining | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $301.64 (22 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Cheniere Energy, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 3.7/5.
What makes up LNG's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is LNG's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20.5% | — |
| 2023 | 54.7% | Rising |
| 2024 | 22.1% | Declining |
| 2025 | 30.0% | Rising |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Cheniere Energy, Inc.'s dividend safe?
Can Cheniere Energy, Inc. afford its dividend?
Payout ratio is 8.5%. FCF covers the dividend 24.9x. 6 consecutive years of payments.
Cheniere Energy, Inc.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $20.0B | $15.7B | $33.4B | Declining |
| Net Income | $5.3B | $3.3B | $1.4B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.5B | $3.2B | $8.7B | Declining |
| Gross Margin | 47.7% | 42.1% | 14.9% | Rising |
Recent events that affect our LNG analysis
LNG earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $4.69. Revenue estimate: $5.82B. Our current Fair Value: $187.64 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
LNG analyst consensus: 91% bullish (21 of 23 analysts)
6 Strong Buy, 15 Buy, 2 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $301.64 (17.2% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $187.64.
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG missed EPS estimates by 33.0%
Reported EPS: $2.59 vs estimate $3.87. Our Fair Value of $187.64 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG paid $0.5550/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 8.5%.
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG paid $0.5550/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 8.5%.
LNG missed EPS estimates by 4.4%
Reported EPS: $2.65 vs estimate $2.78. Our Fair Value of $187.64 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG paid $0.5000/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 8.5%.
LNG missed EPS estimates by 22.2%
Reported EPS: $1.88 vs estimate $2.42. Our Fair Value of $187.64 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG paid $0.5000/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 8.5%.
LNG beat EPS estimates by 15.9%
Reported EPS: $3.70 vs estimate $3.19. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $187.64 (27.1% below current price).
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG missed EPS estimates by 20.7%
Reported EPS: $2.54 vs estimate $3.20. Our Fair Value of $187.64 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG paid $0.5000/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 8.5%.
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
LNG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Cheniere Energy, Inc.
What is Cheniere Energy, Inc. stock price today?
Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) stock price is $257.48 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does Cheniere Energy, Inc. do?
Cheniere Energy, Inc., an energy infrastructure company, primarily engages in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) related businesses in the United States. It owns and operates the Sabine Pass LNG terminal in Cameron Parish, Louisiana; and the Corpus Christi LNG terminal near Corpus Christi, Texas. It also owns and operates the Creole Trail pipeline, a 94-mile natural gas supply pipeline that interconnects the Sabine Pass LNG Terminal with several large interstate and intrastate pipelines; and the Corpus Christi pipeline, a 21-mile natural gas supply pipeline that interconnects the Corpus Christi LNG terminal with interstate and intrastate natural gas pipelines.
What is Cheniere Energy, Inc. market cap?
Cheniere Energy, Inc. has a market capitalization of $54.12B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Energy sector.
What sector and industry is LNG in?
Cheniere Energy, Inc. operates in the Energy sector, specifically within the Oil & Gas Midstream industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol LNG.
Is LNG stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Cheniere Energy, Inc. trades 37.2% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $187.64
- Current Price: $257.48
- Valuation Zone: Overvalued
What is LNG stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 22 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Cheniere Energy, Inc. is $301.64, implying upside of 17.2% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $340.00
- Analyst Low Target: $259.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Cheniere Energy, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Cheniere Energy, Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 11.3%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 43.0%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 6.7%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 17.5%
What are Cheniere Energy, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $20.0B | Declining |
| Net Income | $5.3B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.5B | Declining |
| Gross Margin | 47.7% | Rising |
What is LNG's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 10.7x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 14.3x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 9.1x
How volatile is LNG stock?
Cheniere Energy, Inc. has a beta of 0.13, meaning it is less volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Cheniere Energy, Inc. have?
Cheniere Energy, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $1.10B
- Total Debt: $26.45B
- Net Cash Position: $-25.35B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Cheniere Energy, Inc.'s free cash flow?
Cheniere Energy, Inc. generated $2.65B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $5.54B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Cheniere Energy, Inc. pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, Cheniere Energy, Inc. pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 0.8%
- Payout Ratio: 8.5%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 6
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: 11.0%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: A
Is Cheniere Energy, Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
Cheniere Energy, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 2.34, placing it in the gray zone (1.8–3.0) — some financial uncertainty. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Cheniere Energy, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Cheniere Energy, Inc. scores 3.7/5 stars (Solid moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 4/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is LNG's return on equity (ROE)?
Cheniere Energy, Inc.'s return on equity is 58.7%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy LNG stock?
LNG shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol LNG
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is LNG a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Cheniere Energy, Inc. as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of Cheniere Energy, Inc.?
The current CEO of Cheniere Energy, Inc. is Mr. Jack A. Fusco.
What is LNG's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $24.13
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $18.03
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $15.35
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $18.03
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FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
LNG analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings