EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NYQ · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Is EOG Resources, Inc. a safe investment right now?
EOG Resources, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 3.68 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $139.75 (Watch Zone). Moat rating: 3.1/5 stars.
Could EOG Resources, Inc. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 3.68 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives EOG's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.0572 | 1.2 | 0.07 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 0.5746 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.1274 | 3.3 | 0.42 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 3.2486 | 0.6 | 1.95 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.436 | 1.0 | 0.44 |
How has EOG's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4.87 | Safe |
| 2023 | 4.87 | Safe |
| 2024 | 4.43 | Safe |
| 2025 | 3.68 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from EOG's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is EOG Resources, Inc. actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $11.27 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $9.12 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $14.50 | 29 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 14.6x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 12.4x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Accelerating | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $154.17 (29 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does EOG Resources, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 3.1/5.
What makes up EOG's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is EOG's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 34.0% | — |
| 2023 | 31.0% | Declining |
| 2024 | 24.6% | Declining |
| 2025 | 17.5% | Declining |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is EOG Resources, Inc.'s dividend safe?
Can EOG Resources, Inc. afford its dividend?
Payout ratio is 43.3%. FCF covers the dividend 1.2x. 37 consecutive years of payments.
EOG Resources, Inc.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $22.6B | $23.4B | $29.5B | Declining |
| Net Income | $5.0B | $6.4B | $7.8B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.5B | $5.8B | $6.1B | Declining |
| Gross Margin | 63.4% | 68.3% | 78.1% | Declining |
Recent events that affect our EOG analysis
EOG earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $3.10. Revenue estimate: $5.99B. Our current Fair Value: $139.75 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
EOG analyst consensus: 41% bullish (13 of 32 analysts)
1 Strong Buy, 12 Buy, 19 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $154.17 (15.9% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $139.75.
EOG paid $1.0200/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 43.3%.
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG beat EPS estimates by 3.4%
Reported EPS: $2.27 vs estimate $2.20. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $139.75 (5.1% above current price).
EOG filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG paid $1.0200/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 43.3%.
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG beat EPS estimates by 8.5%
Reported EPS: $2.70 vs estimate $2.49. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $139.75 (5.1% above current price).
EOG filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG paid $1.0200/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 43.3%.
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG beat EPS estimates by 5.2%
Reported EPS: $2.32 vs estimate $2.20. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $139.75 (5.1% above current price).
EOG filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG paid $0.9750/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 43.3%.
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG beat EPS estimates by 3.5%
Reported EPS: $2.87 vs estimate $2.77. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $139.75 (5.1% above current price).
EOG filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG paid $0.9750/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 43.3%.
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG beat EPS estimates by 6.8%
Reported EPS: $2.74 vs estimate $2.57. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $139.75 (5.1% above current price).
EOG filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
EOG paid $0.9750/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 43.3%.
EOG filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about EOG Resources, Inc.
What is EOG Resources, Inc. stock price today?
EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) stock price is $133.01 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does EOG Resources, Inc. do?
EOG Resources, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, explores for, develops, produces, and markets crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas in producing basins in the United States, the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago, and internationally. It also offers crude oil and condensate, and gathering, processing and marketing. It was formerly known as Enron Oil & Gas Company.
What is EOG Resources, Inc. market cap?
EOG Resources, Inc. has a market capitalization of $71.36B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Energy sector.
What sector and industry is EOG in?
EOG Resources, Inc. operates in the Energy sector, specifically within the Oil & Gas E&P industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol EOG.
Is EOG stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, EOG Resources, Inc. trades 4.8% below our fair value estimate — potentially undervalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $139.75
- Current Price: $133.01
- Valuation Zone: Watch Zone
What is EOG stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 29 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for EOG Resources, Inc. is $154.17, implying upside of 15.9% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $199.00
- Analyst Low Target: $123.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is EOG Resources, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for EOG Resources, Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 17.1%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 42.7%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): -2.7%
- EPS growth (next year est.): -4.2%
What are EOG Resources, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $22.6B | Declining |
| Net Income | $5.0B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.5B | Declining |
| Gross Margin | 63.4% | Declining |
What is EOG's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 14.6x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 9.5x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 12.4x
How volatile is EOG stock?
EOG Resources, Inc. has a beta of 0.33, meaning it is less volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does EOG Resources, Inc. have?
EOG Resources, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $3.40B
- Total Debt: $9.13B
- Net Cash Position: $-5.74B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is EOG Resources, Inc.'s free cash flow?
EOG Resources, Inc. generated $2.33B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $10.04B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does EOG Resources, Inc. pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, EOG Resources, Inc. pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 3.0%
- Payout Ratio: 43.3%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 37
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: -15.1%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: A
Is EOG Resources, Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
EOG Resources, Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 3.68, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does EOG Resources, Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
EOG Resources, Inc. scores 3.1/5 stars (Narrow moat) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 4/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 2/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is EOG's return on equity (ROE)?
EOG Resources, Inc.'s return on equity is 16.8%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy EOG stock?
EOG shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol EOG
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is EOG a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies EOG Resources, Inc. as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of EOG Resources, Inc.?
The current CEO of EOG Resources, Inc. is Mr. Ezra Y. Yacob.
What is EOG's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $9.12
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $13.94
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $14.50
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $13.88
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FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
EOG analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings