The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NYQ · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty
Is The Travelers Companies, Inc. a safe investment right now?
The Travelers Companies, Inc. is in the Financial Services sector — Altman Z-Score does not apply to this type of company. Our fair value estimate is $312.91 (Watch Zone).
Why the Altman Z-Score does not apply to The Travelers Companies, Inc.
The Altman Z-Score is designed for manufacturing and non-financial companies. It uses ratios like Working Capital / Total Assets and Revenue / Total Assets that produce misleading results for Financial Services companies.
- Banks hold massive assets (loans) that inflate Total Assets, making WC/TA nearly zero — a false distress signal
- Utilities carry high regulated debt by design — the model misreads leverage as risk
- REITs use Funds From Operations (FFO), not Free Cash Flow — standard cash flow analysis doesn't apply
Altman Z-Score is designed for manufacturing companies and does not apply to banks, utilities, or REITs.
Note: A sector-specific financial health model for Financial Services companies is planned for a future update.
What is The Travelers Companies, Inc. actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst Consensus Target | $312.91 | 22 Wall Street analysts |
| Analyst High / Low | $350.00 / $250.00 | Range of analyst price targets |
| Price / Book | 1.99x | Current market valuation vs book value |
| Return on Equity | 25.3% | Profitability relative to shareholder equity |
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Why standard moat analysis does not apply to The Travelers Companies, Inc.
Our standard moat model uses ROIC stability, gross margin trends, and switching costs — metrics designed for product and service companies. Financial Services companies compete on fundamentally different dimensions.
- Banks — moat comes from deposit cost advantage, net interest margin stability, and fee income diversification
- Utilities — moat is a regulatory monopoly with guaranteed rate of return on invested capital
- REITs — moat comes from property portfolio quality, location, tenant mix, and cap rate advantages
Standard moat analysis (ROIC/gross margin/switching costs) does not reliably apply to Financial Services companies. Banks compete on net interest margin, utilities on regulated returns, and REITs on occupancy and cap rates.
Note: A sector-specific competitive analysis for Financial Services companies is planned for a future update.
Is The Travelers Companies, Inc.'s dividend safe?
Can The Travelers Companies, Inc. afford its dividend?
Payout ratio is 13.1%. FCF covers the dividend 7.4x. 40 consecutive years of payments.
The Travelers Companies, Inc.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $48.8B | $46.4B | $36.9B | Rising |
| Net Income | $6.3B | $5.0B | $2.8B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $10.6B | $9.1B | $6.5B | Rising |
Recent events that affect our TRV analysis
TRV earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $4.82. Revenue estimate: $10.97B. Our current Fair Value: $312.91 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
TRV analyst consensus: 30% bullish (8 of 27 analysts)
2 Strong Buy, 6 Buy, 16 Hold, 0 Sell, 3 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $312.91 (3.7% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $312.91.
TRV beat EPS estimates by 8.9%
Reported EPS: $7.71 vs estimate $7.08. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $312.91 (3.7% above current price).
TRV filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV paid $1.1000/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 13.1%.
TRV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV beat EPS estimates by 26.4%
Reported EPS: $11.13 vs estimate $8.80. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $312.91 (3.7% above current price).
TRV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV paid $1.1000/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 13.1%.
TRV beat EPS estimates by 27.6%
Reported EPS: $8.14 vs estimate $6.38. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $312.91 (3.7% above current price).
TRV filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV paid $1.1000/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 13.1%.
TRV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV beat EPS estimates by 80.1%
Reported EPS: $6.51 vs estimate $3.61. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $312.91 (3.7% above current price).
TRV filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV paid $1.1000/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 13.1%.
TRV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV beat EPS estimates by 147.7%
Reported EPS: $1.91 vs estimate $0.77. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $312.91 (3.7% above current price).
TRV filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV paid $1.0500/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 13.1%.
TRV filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
TRV beat EPS estimates by 38.5%
Reported EPS: $9.15 vs estimate $6.60. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $312.91 (3.7% above current price).
TRV filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about The Travelers Companies, Inc.
What is The Travelers Companies, Inc. stock price today?
The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) stock price is $301.68 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does The Travelers Companies, Inc. do?
The Travelers Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides a range of commercial and personal property, and casualty insurance products and services to businesses, government units, associations, and individuals in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Business Insurance, Bond & Specialty Insurance, and Personal Insurance. The Business Insurance segment offers workers' compensation, commercial automobile and property, general liability, commercial multi-peril, employers' liability, public and product liability, professional indemnity, marine, aviation, commercial property and automobile, onshore and offshore energy, construction, terrorism, personal accident, and kidnap and ransom insurance products.
What is The Travelers Companies, Inc. market cap?
The Travelers Companies, Inc. has a market capitalization of $64.15B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Financial Services sector.
What sector and industry is TRV in?
The Travelers Companies, Inc. operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically within the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol TRV.
Is TRV stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, The Travelers Companies, Inc. trades 3.6% below our fair value estimate — potentially undervalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $312.91
- Current Price: $301.68
- Valuation Zone: Watch Zone
What is TRV stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 22 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for The Travelers Companies, Inc. is $312.91, implying upside of 3.7% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $350.00
- Analyst Low Target: $250.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is The Travelers Companies, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for The Travelers Companies, Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): -0.4%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 1.7%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 2.9%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 1.3%
What are The Travelers Companies, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $48.8B | Rising |
| Net Income | $6.3B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $10.6B | Rising |
What is TRV's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 9.0x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 10.6x
How volatile is TRV stock?
The Travelers Companies, Inc. has a beta of 0.52, meaning it is less volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does The Travelers Companies, Inc. have?
The Travelers Companies, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $7.14B
- Total Debt: $9.27B
- Net Cash Position: $-2.13B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is The Travelers Companies, Inc.'s free cash flow?
The Travelers Companies, Inc. generated $13.30B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $11.44B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does The Travelers Companies, Inc. pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, The Travelers Companies, Inc. pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 1.5%
- Payout Ratio: 13.1%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 40
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: -20.6%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: A
Is The Travelers Companies, Inc. financially healthy?
The Altman Z-Score — the standard bankruptcy prediction model — is not applicable to Financial Services companies like The Travelers Companies, Inc.. The formula uses ratios designed for manufacturing firms that produce misleading results for banks, utilities, and REITs.
Does The Travelers Companies, Inc. have a competitive moat?
Our standard moat model (based on ROIC, gross margins, and switching costs) does not apply to Financial Services companies. These firms compete on fundamentally different dimensions such as regulatory advantages, deposit cost structures, or property portfolios.
What is TRV's return on equity (ROE)?
The Travelers Companies, Inc.'s return on equity is 25.3%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy TRV stock?
TRV shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol TRV
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is TRV a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies The Travelers Companies, Inc. as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of The Travelers Companies, Inc.?
The current CEO of The Travelers Companies, Inc. is Mr. Alan David Schnitzer J.D..
What is TRV's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $33.52
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $28.42
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $28.05
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $28.42
Other Financial Services companies analyzed by FairValueLabs
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
TRV analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings