Jabil Inc. (JBL) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NYQ · Technology · Electronic Components
Is Jabil Inc. a safe investment right now?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our estimated fair value (intrinsic value) for Jabil Inc. (JBL) stock is $315.75, versus a market price of $363.10 — Overvalued. Predicted EPS $8.18 x 38.6 Fair PE.
Jabil Inc.'s Altman Z-Score of 3.62 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $315.75 (Overvalued). Moat rating: 3.4/5 stars.
Jabil Inc. is part of the AI Servers Built & Wired — EMS, ODM & PCB group in our AI coverage — compare its fair value against every other AI, cloud, and quantum stock through a value investing lens.
Could Jabil Inc. go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 3.62 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives JBL's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.0003 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 0.3442 | 1.4 | 0.48 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.056 | 3.3 | 0.18 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 2.2347 | 0.6 | 1.34 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 1.6072 | 1.0 | 1.61 |
How has JBL's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3.52 | Safe |
| 2023 | 3.86 | Safe |
| 2024 | 4.03 | Safe |
| 2025 | 3.62 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from JBL's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
Jabil Inc. Fair Value & Intrinsic Value — What Is It Actually Worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $8.18 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals (3Q actual) + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $5.92 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $12.76 | 9 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 45.4x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 38.6x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Stable | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $441.44 (9 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Jabil Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 3.4/5.
What makes up JBL's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 3/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is JBL's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20.6% | — |
| 2023 | 21.1% | Stable |
| 2024 | 33.3% | Rising |
| 2025 | 17.4% | Declining |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Jabil Inc.'s dividend safe?
Can Jabil Inc. afford its dividend?
Payout ratio is 4.0%. FCF covers the dividend 5.3x. 21 consecutive years of payments.
US dividend withholding tax of 30% applies to non-US tax residents. This rate may be reduced under a tax treaty between the US and your country of residence. The adjusted yield shown assumes the default 30% rate. For informational purposes only — consult a qualified tax advisor.
Jabil Inc.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $29.8B | $28.9B | $33.5B | Declining |
| Net Income | $0.7B | $1.4B | $1.0B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.2B | $0.9B | $0.3B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | Rising |
Recent events that affect our JBL analysis
JBL earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $4.07. Revenue estimate: $9.70B. Our current Fair Value: $315.75 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
JBL paid $0.0800/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 4.0%.
JBL analyst consensus: 80% bullish (8 of 10 analysts)
2 Strong Buy, 6 Buy, 2 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $441.44 (21.6% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $315.75.
JBL filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL beat EPS estimates by 1.4%
Reported EPS: $3.16 vs estimate $3.12. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $315.75 (13.0% below current price).
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL paid $0.0800/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 4.0%.
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL beat EPS estimates by 7.2%
Reported EPS: $2.69 vs estimate $2.51. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $315.75 (13.0% below current price).
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL paid $0.0800/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 4.0%.
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL beat EPS estimates by 4.4%
Reported EPS: $2.85 vs estimate $2.73. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $315.75 (13.0% below current price).
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL paid $0.0800/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 4.0%.
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL beat EPS estimates by 11.7%
Reported EPS: $3.29 vs estimate $2.95. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $315.75 (13.0% below current price).
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL paid $0.0800/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 4.0%.
JBL filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL beat EPS estimates by 9.8%
Reported EPS: $2.55 vs estimate $2.32. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $315.75 (13.0% below current price).
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL paid $0.0800/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 4.0%.
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL beat EPS estimates by 6.2%
Reported EPS: $1.94 vs estimate $1.83. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $315.75 (13.0% below current price).
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL paid $0.0800/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 4.0%.
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
JBL filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Jabil Inc.
What is Jabil Inc. stock price today?
Jabil Inc. (JBL) stock price is $363.10 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does Jabil Inc. do?
Jabil Inc. provides engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain solutions worldwide. It operates in three segments: Regulated Industries, Intelligent Infrastructure, and Connected Living and Digital Commerce.
What is Jabil Inc. market cap?
Jabil Inc. has a market capitalization of $38.05B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Technology sector.
What sector and industry is JBL in?
Jabil Inc. operates in the Technology sector, specifically within the Electronic Components industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol JBL.
Is JBL stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Jabil Inc. trades 15.0% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $315.75
- Current Price: $363.10
- Valuation Zone: Overvalued
What is JBL stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Jabil Inc. is $441.44, implying upside of 21.6% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $482.00
- Analyst Low Target: $365.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Jabil Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Jabil Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 17.6%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 30.9%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 21.3%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 31.2%
What are Jabil Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $29.8B | Declining |
| Net Income | $0.7B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.2B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 8.9% | Rising |
What is JBL's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 45.4x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 21.6x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 38.6x
How volatile is JBL stock?
Jabil Inc. has a beta of 1.30, meaning it is somewhat more volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Jabil Inc. have?
Jabil Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $1.36B
- Total Debt: $3.94B
- Net Cash Position: $-2.58B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Jabil Inc.'s free cash flow?
Jabil Inc. generated $1.21B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $1.86B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Jabil Inc. pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, Jabil Inc. pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 0.1%
- Payout Ratio: 4.0%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 21
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: -5.6%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: A
Is Jabil Inc. at risk of going bankrupt?
Jabil Inc.'s Altman Z-Score is 3.62, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Jabil Inc. have a durable competitive advantage?
Jabil Inc. scores 3.4/5 stars (Narrow moat) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 4/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 3/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is JBL's return on equity (ROE)?
Jabil Inc.'s return on equity is 65.9%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy JBL stock?
JBL shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol JBL
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is JBL a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Jabil Inc. as Value-Speculation. It has some value characteristics but carries elevated risk factors that make it speculative. Extra due diligence is recommended.
Who is the CEO of Jabil Inc.?
The current CEO of Jabil Inc. is Mr. Michael Dastoor.
What is JBL's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $8.00
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $16.84
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $12.76
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $16.75
Other Technology companies analyzed by FairValueLabs
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Aug 13, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
JBL analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings