Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NMS · Communication Services · Telecom Services
Is Comcast Corporation a safe investment right now?
Comcast Corporation's Altman Z-Score of 1.51 places it in the distress zone. Our fair value estimate is $21.39 (Overvalued). Moat rating: 3.7/5 stars.
Could Comcast Corporation go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 1.51 falls below the 1.8 distress threshold, indicating significant financial stress.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives CMCSA's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | -0.0145 | 1.2 | -0.02 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 0.2446 | 1.4 | 0.34 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.1107 | 3.3 | 0.37 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 0.6107 | 0.6 | 0.37 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.4538 | 1.0 | 0.45 |
How has CMCSA's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1.26 | Distress |
| 2023 | 1.33 | Distress |
| 2024 | 1.35 | Distress |
| 2025 | 1.51 | Distress |
Source: Calculated from CMCSA's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is Comcast Corporation actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $4.65 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Last Year EPS | $5.39 | Annual report (SEC EDGAR) |
| Analyst Consensus EPS (This Year) | $3.53 | 22 analysts consensus |
| Trailing P/E | 5.5x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 4.6x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | Declining | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $32.68 (22 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Comcast Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 3.7/5.
What makes up CMCSA's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is CMCSA's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 7.3% | — |
| 2023 | 13.7% | Rising |
| 2024 | 12.3% | Declining |
| 2025 | 15.4% | Rising |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Comcast Corporation's dividend safe?
Can Comcast Corporation afford its dividend?
Payout ratio is 18.4%. FCF covers the dividend 2.7x. 32 consecutive years of payments.
Comcast Corporation's key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $123.7B | $123.7B | $121.4B | Stable |
| Net Income | $20.0B | $16.2B | $5.4B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $19.2B | $12.5B | $12.6B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 71.8% | 70.1% | 68.5% | Stable |
Recent events that affect our CMCSA analysis
CMCSA earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $0.73. Revenue estimate: $30.35B. Our current Fair Value: $21.39 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
CMCSA analyst consensus: 30% bullish (8 of 27 analysts)
2 Strong Buy, 6 Buy, 16 Hold, 2 Sell, 1 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $32.68 (11.3% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $21.39.
CMCSA paid $0.3300/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 18.4%.
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA beat EPS estimates by 10.8%
Reported EPS: $0.84 vs estimate $0.76. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $21.39 (27.2% below current price).
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA paid $0.3300/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 18.4%.
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA stock split 1:1
Stock splits don't change fundamental value, but they can affect per-share metrics. Our models automatically adjust for splits.
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA beat EPS estimates by 1.7%
Reported EPS: $1.12 vs estimate $1.10. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $21.39 (27.2% below current price).
CMCSA filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA paid $0.3093/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 18.4%.
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA beat EPS estimates by 5.9%
Reported EPS: $1.25 vs estimate $1.18. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $21.39 (27.2% below current price).
CMCSA filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA paid $0.3093/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 18.4%.
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA beat EPS estimates by 9.9%
Reported EPS: $1.09 vs estimate $0.99. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $21.39 (27.2% below current price).
CMCSA filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA paid $0.3093/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 18.4%.
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA beat EPS estimates by 11.4%
Reported EPS: $0.96 vs estimate $0.86. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $21.39 (27.2% below current price).
CMCSA filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
CMCSA paid $0.2905/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: A. Payout ratio: 18.4%.
Common questions about Comcast Corporation
What is Comcast Corporation stock price today?
Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) stock price is $29.37 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does Comcast Corporation do?
Comcast Corporation operates as a media and technology company worldwide. It operates through Residential Connectivity & Platforms, Business Services Connectivity, Media, Studios, and Theme Parks segments. Its Residential Connectivity & Platforms segment provides residential broadband and wireless connectivity services, residential and business video services, sky-branded entertainment television networks, and advertising.
What is Comcast Corporation market cap?
Comcast Corporation has a market capitalization of $107.02B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Communication Services sector.
What sector and industry is CMCSA in?
Comcast Corporation operates in the Communication Services sector, specifically within the Telecom Services industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol CMCSA.
Is CMCSA stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Comcast Corporation trades 37.3% above our fair value estimate — potentially overvalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $21.39
- Current Price: $29.37
- Valuation Zone: Overvalued
What is CMCSA stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 22 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Comcast Corporation is $32.68, implying upside of 11.3% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $44.00
- Analyst Low Target: $23.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Comcast Corporation revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Comcast Corporation:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): -2.1%
- EPS growth (current year est.): -18.0%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): -0.8%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 8.6%
What are Comcast Corporation's key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $123.7B | Stable |
| Net Income | $20.0B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | $19.2B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 71.8% | Stable |
What is CMCSA's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 5.5x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 7.7x
- FairValueLabs Fair P/E: 4.6x
How volatile is CMCSA stock?
Comcast Corporation has a beta of 0.79, meaning it is less volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Comcast Corporation have?
Comcast Corporation's balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $9.48B
- Total Debt: $105.03B
- Net Cash Position: $-95.55B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Comcast Corporation's free cash flow?
Comcast Corporation generated $5.59B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $33.64B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Comcast Corporation pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, Comcast Corporation pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 4.5%
- Payout Ratio: 18.4%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 32
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: -6.4%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: A
Is Comcast Corporation at risk of going bankrupt?
Comcast Corporation's Altman Z-Score is 1.51, placing it in the distress zone (below 1.8) — elevated bankruptcy risk. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Comcast Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?
Comcast Corporation scores 3.7/5 stars (Solid moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 4/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is CMCSA's return on equity (ROE)?
Comcast Corporation's return on equity is 21.4%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy CMCSA stock?
CMCSA shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol CMCSA
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is CMCSA a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Comcast Corporation as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of Comcast Corporation?
The current CEO of Comcast Corporation is Mr. Brian L. Roberts.
What is CMCSA's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $5.39
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $3.84
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $3.53
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $3.84
Other Communication Services companies analyzed by FairValueLabs
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
CMCSA analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings