Roblox Corporation (RBLX) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NYQ · Communication Services · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
Is Roblox Corporation a safe investment right now?
Roblox Corporation's Altman Z-Score of 2.18 places it in the gray zone. Fair value estimate is not available for this stock. Moat rating: 2.9/5 stars.
Could Roblox Corporation go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 2.18 places the company in the gray zone (1.8-3.0), warranting closer scrutiny.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives RBLX's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | -0.0239 | 1.2 | -0.03 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | -0.5295 | 1.4 | -0.74 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | -0.1076 | 3.3 | -0.36 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 4.6492 | 0.6 | 2.79 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.5117 | 1.0 | 0.51 |
How has RBLX's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4.72 | Safe |
| 2023 | 3.4 | Safe |
| 2024 | 3.0 | Safe |
| 2025 | 2.18 | Gray |
Source: Calculated from RBLX's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
What is Roblox Corporation actually worth?
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Roblox Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 2.9/5.
What makes up RBLX's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 4/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is RBLX's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -68.9% | — |
| 2023 | -103.5% | Declining |
| 2024 | -73.0% | Rising |
| 2025 | -73.3% | Stable |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Roblox Corporation's dividend safe?
Roblox Corporation's key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.9B | $3.6B | $2.2B | Rising |
| Net Income | −$1.1B | −$0.9B | −$0.9B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.4B | $0.6B | −$0.1B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 78.1% | 77.8% | 75.4% | Stable |
Recent events that affect our RBLX analysis
RBLX earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $-0.41. Revenue estimate: $1.75B.
RBLX analyst consensus: 75% bullish (27 of 36 analysts)
6 Strong Buy, 21 Buy, 8 Hold, 1 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $103.60 (73.7% upside).
RBLX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
RBLX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
RBLX filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
RBLX beat EPS estimates by 8.7%
Reported EPS: $-0.45 vs estimate $-0.49.
RBLX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
RBLX beat EPS estimates by 27.1%
Reported EPS: $-0.37 vs estimate $-0.51.
RBLX filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
RBLX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
RBLX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
RBLX missed EPS estimates by 7.0%
Reported EPS: $-0.41 vs estimate $-0.38.
RBLX filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
RBLX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
RBLX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
RBLX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
RBLX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
RBLX beat EPS estimates by 20.4%
Reported EPS: $-0.32 vs estimate $-0.40.
RBLX filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
RBLX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
RBLX filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
RBLX beat EPS estimates by 26.2%
Reported EPS: $-0.33 vs estimate $-0.45.
RBLX filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Roblox Corporation
What is Roblox Corporation stock price today?
Roblox Corporation (RBLX) stock price is $59.64 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does Roblox Corporation do?
Roblox Corporation operates an immersive platform for connection and communication in the United States and internationally. It offers Roblox Client, an application that allows users to explore immersive experience; Roblox Studio, a free toolset that allows developers and creators to build, publish, and operate immersive experiences and other content; and Roblox Cloud, which provides services and infrastructure that power the platform. Roblox Corporation was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in San Mateo, California.
What is Roblox Corporation market cap?
Roblox Corporation has a market capitalization of $42.69B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Communication Services sector.
What sector and industry is RBLX in?
Roblox Corporation operates in the Communication Services sector, specifically within the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol RBLX.
Is RBLX stock overvalued or undervalued?
We do not have sufficient earnings data to produce a reliable fair value estimate for Roblox Corporation at this time. Stocks without stable earnings history are difficult to value using traditional models.
What is RBLX stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 35 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Roblox Corporation is $103.60, implying upside of 73.7% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $166.94
- Analyst Low Target: $54.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Roblox Corporation revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Roblox Corporation:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 24.0%
- EPS growth (current year est.): -6.8%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 21.0%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 28.6%
What are Roblox Corporation's key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.9B | Rising |
| Net Income | −$1.1B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.4B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 78.1% | Stable |
What is RBLX's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): -44.8x
How volatile is RBLX stock?
Roblox Corporation has a beta of 1.67, meaning it is significantly more volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Roblox Corporation have?
Roblox Corporation's balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $3.06B
- Total Debt: $1.80B
- Net Cash Position: $1.25B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Roblox Corporation's free cash flow?
Roblox Corporation generated $1.02B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $1.80B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Roblox Corporation pay a dividend?
Roblox Corporation does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Roblox Corporation at risk of going bankrupt?
Roblox Corporation's Altman Z-Score is 2.18, placing it in the gray zone (1.8–3.0) — some financial uncertainty. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Roblox Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?
Roblox Corporation scores 2.9/5 stars (Narrow moat · eroding) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 2/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 4/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is RBLX's return on equity (ROE)?
Roblox Corporation's return on equity is -367.2%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy RBLX stock?
RBLX shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol RBLX
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is RBLX a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Roblox Corporation as Pure Speculation. It lacks the financial stability or valuation margin typically required for value investing. This stock is considered high risk.
Who is the CEO of Roblox Corporation?
The current CEO of Roblox Corporation is Mr. David Baszucki.
What is RBLX's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $-1.54
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $-1.33
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $-1.64
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $-1.17
Other Communication Services companies analyzed by FairValueLabs
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
RBLX analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings