WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NYQ · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric
Is WEC Energy Group, Inc. a safe investment right now?
WEC Energy Group, Inc. is in the Utilities sector — Altman Z-Score does not apply to this type of company. Our fair value estimate is $124.14 (Watch Zone).
Why the Altman Z-Score does not apply to WEC Energy Group, Inc.
The Altman Z-Score is designed for manufacturing and non-financial companies. It uses ratios like Working Capital / Total Assets and Revenue / Total Assets that produce misleading results for Utilities companies.
- Banks hold massive assets (loans) that inflate Total Assets, making WC/TA nearly zero — a false distress signal
- Utilities carry high regulated debt by design — the model misreads leverage as risk
- REITs use Funds From Operations (FFO), not Free Cash Flow — standard cash flow analysis doesn't apply
Altman Z-Score is designed for manufacturing companies and does not apply to banks, utilities, or REITs.
Note: A sector-specific financial health model for Utilities companies is planned for a future update.
What is WEC Energy Group, Inc. actually worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst Consensus Target | $124.14 | 18 Wall Street analysts |
| Analyst High / Low | $140.00 / $108.00 | Range of analyst price targets |
| Price / Book | 2.71x | Current market valuation vs book value |
| Return on Equity | 11.6% | Profitability relative to shareholder equity |
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Why standard moat analysis does not apply to WEC Energy Group, Inc.
Our standard moat model uses ROIC stability, gross margin trends, and switching costs — metrics designed for product and service companies. Utilities companies compete on fundamentally different dimensions.
- Banks — moat comes from deposit cost advantage, net interest margin stability, and fee income diversification
- Utilities — moat is a regulatory monopoly with guaranteed rate of return on invested capital
- REITs — moat comes from property portfolio quality, location, tenant mix, and cap rate advantages
Standard moat analysis (ROIC/gross margin/switching costs) does not reliably apply to Utilities companies. Banks compete on net interest margin, utilities on regulated returns, and REITs on occupancy and cap rates.
Note: A sector-specific competitive analysis for Utilities companies is planned for a future update.
Is WEC Energy Group, Inc.'s dividend safe?
Can WEC Energy Group, Inc. afford its dividend?
Payout ratio is 74.2%. FCF covers the dividend -0.3x. 41 consecutive years of payments.
WEC Energy Group, Inc.'s key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.8B | $8.6B | $9.6B | Stable |
| Net Income | $1.6B | $1.5B | $1.4B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | −$1.0B | $0.4B | −$0.3B | Declining |
| Gross Margin | 42.2% | 44.0% | 34.4% | Rising |
Recent events that affect our WEC analysis
WEC earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $2.26. Revenue estimate: $3.40B. Our current Fair Value: $124.14 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
WEC analyst consensus: 40% bullish (8 of 20 analysts)
1 Strong Buy, 7 Buy, 11 Hold, 1 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $124.14 (9.5% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $124.14.
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC paid $0.9530/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: C. Payout ratio: 74.2%.
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC missed EPS estimates by 29.9%
Reported EPS: $0.97 vs estimate $1.38. Our Fair Value of $124.14 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC paid $0.8930/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: C. Payout ratio: 74.2%.
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC beat EPS estimates by 2.2%
Reported EPS: $0.83 vs estimate $0.81. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $124.14 (9.5% above current price).
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC paid $0.8930/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: C. Payout ratio: 74.2%.
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC beat EPS estimates by 7.6%
Reported EPS: $0.76 vs estimate $0.71. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $124.14 (9.5% above current price).
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC paid $0.8930/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: C. Payout ratio: 74.2%.
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC beat EPS estimates by 4.3%
Reported EPS: $2.27 vs estimate $2.18. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $124.14 (9.5% above current price).
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC paid $0.8930/share dividend
Dividend Safety Grade: C. Payout ratio: 74.2%.
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC missed EPS estimates by 0.3%
Reported EPS: $1.43 vs estimate $1.43. Our Fair Value of $124.14 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
WEC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about WEC Energy Group, Inc.
What is WEC Energy Group, Inc. stock price today?
WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC) stock price is $113.38 as of the latest market close, traded on the NYSE exchange.
What does WEC Energy Group, Inc. do?
WEC Energy Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides regulated natural gas and electricity, and renewable and nonregulated renewable energy services in the United States. It operates through Wisconsin, Illinois, Other States, Electric Transmission, and Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure segments. It generates and distributes electricity from coal, natural gas, oil, and nuclear, as well as renewable energy resources, including wind, solar, hydroelectric, and biomass; and distributes and hydroelectric natural gas.
What is WEC Energy Group, Inc. market cap?
WEC Energy Group, Inc. has a market capitalization of $36.93B, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Utilities sector.
What sector and industry is WEC in?
WEC Energy Group, Inc. operates in the Utilities sector, specifically within the Utilities - Regulated Electric industry. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol WEC.
Is WEC stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, WEC Energy Group, Inc. trades 8.7% below our fair value estimate — potentially undervalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $124.14
- Current Price: $113.38
- Valuation Zone: Watch Zone
What is WEC stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 18 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for WEC Energy Group, Inc. is $124.14, implying upside of 9.5% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $140.00
- Analyst Low Target: $108.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is WEC Energy Group, Inc. revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for WEC Energy Group, Inc.:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 3.5%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 16.3%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 5.9%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 7.5%
What are WEC Energy Group, Inc.'s key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.8B | Stable |
| Net Income | $1.6B | Rising |
| Free Cash Flow | −$1.0B | Declining |
| Gross Margin | 42.2% | Rising |
What is WEC's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Trailing P/E (last 12 months): 23.6x
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 18.9x
How volatile is WEC stock?
WEC Energy Group, Inc. has a beta of 0.53, meaning it is less volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does WEC Energy Group, Inc. have?
WEC Energy Group, Inc.'s balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $27.6M
- Total Debt: $22.39B
- Net Cash Position: $-22.36B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is WEC Energy Group, Inc.'s free cash flow?
WEC Energy Group, Inc. generated $-2.14B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $3.38B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does WEC Energy Group, Inc. pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes, WEC Energy Group, Inc. pays a regular dividend. Here are the key metrics:
- Dividend Yield: 3.1%
- Payout Ratio: 74.2%
- Consecutive Years Paid: 41
- 5-Year Dividend Growth: -18.9%
- FairValueLabs Safety Grade: C
Is WEC Energy Group, Inc. financially healthy?
The Altman Z-Score — the standard bankruptcy prediction model — is not applicable to Utilities companies like WEC Energy Group, Inc.. The formula uses ratios designed for manufacturing firms that produce misleading results for banks, utilities, and REITs.
Does WEC Energy Group, Inc. have a competitive moat?
Our standard moat model (based on ROIC, gross margins, and switching costs) does not apply to Utilities companies. These firms compete on fundamentally different dimensions such as regulatory advantages, deposit cost structures, or property portfolios.
What is WEC's return on equity (ROE)?
WEC Energy Group, Inc.'s return on equity is 11.6%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy WEC stock?
WEC shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NYSE. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol WEC
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is WEC a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies WEC Energy Group, Inc. as Value Investment. It exhibits consistent profitability, reasonable valuation, and financial stability — characteristics of a traditional value investment.
Who is the CEO of WEC Energy Group, Inc.?
The current CEO of WEC Energy Group, Inc. is Mr. Scott J. Lauber CPA.
What is WEC's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $4.81
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $6.01
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $5.60
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $6.02
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
WEC analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings