Intel Corporation (INTC) Stock Analysis — Fair Value, Risk & Moat Rating
NMS · Technology · Semiconductors
Is Intel Corporation a safe investment right now?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our estimated fair value (intrinsic value) for Intel Corporation (INTC) stock is $114.05, versus a market price of $102.50 — Watch — Analyst Anchor. Analyst Consensus (40 analysts) — EPS model not applicable at negative earnings.
Intel Corporation's Altman Z-Score of 4.62 places it in the safe zone. Our fair value estimate is $114.05 (Watch — Analyst Anchor). Moat rating: 2.3/5 stars.
Intel Corporation is part of the AI Chips, Semi Equipment & Servers group in our AI coverage — compare its fair value against every other AI, cloud, and quantum stock through a value investing lens.
Could Intel Corporation go bankrupt? Altman Z-Score analysis
Z-Score of 4.62 is above 3.0, indicating the company is financially healthy by this metric.
- Below 1.8 — Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)
- 1.8 to 3.0 — Gray Zone (elevated uncertainty)
- Above 3.0 — Safe Zone (financially healthy)
What drives INTC's Z-Score?
| Component | Formula | Value | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Working Capital / Total Assets | WC / TA | 0.1519 | 1.2 | 0.18 |
| B · Retained Earnings / Total Assets | RE / TA | 0.2317 | 1.4 | 0.32 |
| C · EBIT / Total Assets | EBIT / TA | 0.0125 | 3.3 | 0.04 |
| D · Market Cap / Total Liabilities | MCap / TL | 6.3693 | 0.6 | 3.82 |
| E · Revenue / Total Assets | Rev / TA | 0.25 | 1.0 | 0.25 |
How has INTC's financial health changed over time?
| Year | Z-Score | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 5.28 | Safe |
| 2023 | 4.9 | Safe |
| 2024 | 4.07 | Safe |
| 2025 | 4.62 | Safe |
Source: Calculated from INTC's latest 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR.
Intel Corporation Fair Value & Intrinsic Value — What Is It Actually Worth?
How we calculated this
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Predicted EPS (α) | $0.00 | Proprietary blend of reported actuals + analyst consensus, weighted by α |
| Trailing P/E | 0.0x | Current market pricing |
| Fair P/E (β discount) | 0.0x | Trailing PE adjusted by value discount factor β, hard-capped |
| Earnings Trend (γ) | N/A | Directional signal: predicted vs trailing EPS |
Wall Street Reference: Analyst consensus target price is $114.05 (40 analysts). This is shown for reference only and is not used in our valuation model.
Source: Earnings data from SEC EDGAR filings. Market data via Yahoo Finance.
Does Intel Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?
Moat rating: 2.3/5.
What makes up INTC's moat score?
ROIC Stability
ROIC variability over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Gross Margin Trend
Gross margin trajectory over the past decade. Score: 2/5.
Switching Costs
Estimated customer lock-in based on margin level. Score: 3/5.
How stable is INTC's return on invested capital?
| Year | ROIC | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 5.8% | — |
| 2023 | 1.1% | Declining |
| 2024 | -6.8% | Declining |
| 2025 | 1.7% | Rising |
Source: ROIC calculated from SEC EDGAR filings.
Is Intel Corporation's dividend safe?
Intel Corporation's key financial metrics
| Metric | Latest | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $52.9B | $53.1B | $63.1B | Declining |
| Net Income | −$0.3B | −$18.8B | $8.0B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | −$4.9B | −$15.7B | −$9.4B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 34.8% | 32.7% | 42.6% | Declining |
Recent events that affect our INTC analysis
INTC earnings report scheduled
Upcoming report. Consensus EPS estimate: $0.39. Revenue estimate: $16.42B. Our current Fair Value: $114.05 — a significant beat or miss could shift this estimate.
INTC analyst consensus: 28% bullish (13 of 47 analysts)
2 Strong Buy, 11 Buy, 31 Hold, 2 Sell, 1 Strong Sell. Consensus target: $114.05 (11.3% upside). Compare with our independent Fair Value: $114.05.
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC beat EPS estimates by 92.5%
Reported EPS: $0.42 vs estimate $0.22. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $114.05 (11.3% above current price).
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC beat EPS estimates by 2108.7%
Reported EPS: $0.29 vs estimate $0.01. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $114.05 (11.3% above current price).
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC beat EPS estimates by 81.5%
Reported EPS: $0.15 vs estimate $0.08. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $114.05 (11.3% above current price).
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC beat EPS estimates by 3162.4%
Reported EPS: $0.23 vs estimate $0.01. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $114.05 (11.3% above current price).
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC missed EPS estimates by 1169.5%
Reported EPS: $-0.10 vs estimate $0.01. Our Fair Value of $114.05 may face downward pressure if the trend continues.
INTC filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed quarterly report (10-Q)
Quarterly update with interim financials. May signal changes to earnings trajectory and balance sheet health. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC reported EPS of $0.13
Reported EPS: $0.13.
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC filed annual report (10-K)
Annual filing with full-year financials. Our Altman Z-Score, Moat, and Fair Value models are derived from this data. View on SEC EDGAR →
INTC beat EPS estimates by 8.7%
Reported EPS: $0.13 vs estimate $0.12. Earnings strength supports our Fair Value of $114.05 (11.3% above current price).
INTC filed 8-K (material event)
8-K filings disclose material events — acquisitions, leadership changes, or guidance revisions that may affect valuation. View on SEC EDGAR →
Common questions about Intel Corporation
What is Intel Corporation stock price today?
Intel Corporation (INTC) stock price is $102.50 as of the latest market close, traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What does Intel Corporation do?
Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and services in the United States, Ireland, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: CCG, DCAI, and Intel Foundry. It offers client computing group products, including client and commercial CPUs, discrete client GPUs, edge computing, and connectivity products; data center and AI products, such as server CPUs, discrete GPUs, and networking products; and semiconductors comprising wafer fabrication, substrates, and other related products and services.
What is Intel Corporation market cap?
Intel Corporation has a market capitalization of $541.83B, classifying it as a mega-cap stock in the Technology sector.
What sector and industry is INTC in?
Intel Corporation operates in the Technology sector, specifically within the Semiconductors industry. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol INTC.
Is INTC stock overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our valuation model, Intel Corporation trades 10.1% below our fair value estimate — potentially undervalued.
- FairValueLabs Fair Value: $114.05
- Current Price: $102.50
- Valuation Zone: Watch — Analyst Anchor
What is INTC stock forecast and analyst target price?
Based on 40 Wall Street analysts, the consensus price target for Intel Corporation is $114.05, implying upside of 11.3% from the current price.
- Analyst High Target: $200.00
- Analyst Low Target: $74.00
Note: Analyst targets are shown for reference and are not used in our valuation model.
Is Intel Corporation revenue and earnings growing?
Here are the analyst consensus growth estimates for Intel Corporation:
- Revenue growth (current year est.): 19.3%
- EPS growth (current year est.): 261.9%
- Revenue growth (next year est.): 13.1%
- EPS growth (next year est.): 35.4%
What are Intel Corporation's key financial metrics?
| Metric | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $52.9B | Declining |
| Net Income | −$0.3B | Declining |
| Free Cash Flow | −$4.9B | Rising |
| Gross Margin | 34.8% | Declining |
What is INTC's P/E ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors pay per dollar of earnings:
- Forward P/E (next 12 months est.): 50.2x
How volatile is INTC stock?
Intel Corporation has a beta of 2.24, meaning it is significantly more volatile than the broader market. A beta above 1.0 indicates higher price swings relative to the S&P 500, while below 1.0 suggests more stability.
How much cash and debt does Intel Corporation have?
Intel Corporation's balance sheet shows:
- Total Cash: $29.73B
- Total Debt: $50.54B
- Net Cash Position: $-20.81B
A positive net cash position means the company holds more cash than debt, reducing financial risk.
What is Intel Corporation's free cash flow?
Intel Corporation generated $4.87B in trailing twelve-month free cash flow (from $14.94B in operating cash flow). Free cash flow represents the cash available for dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction after all capital expenditures.
Does Intel Corporation pay a dividend?
Intel Corporation does not currently pay a regular dividend to shareholders. The company may be reinvesting all profits back into growth, or it may have suspended its dividend.
Is Intel Corporation at risk of going bankrupt?
Intel Corporation's Altman Z-Score is 4.62, placing it in the safe zone (above 3.0) — bankruptcy risk is low. The Z-Score uses five balance sheet ratios to predict bankruptcy probability within two years.
Does Intel Corporation have a durable competitive advantage?
Intel Corporation scores 2.3/5 stars (Weak moat) in our moat analysis:
- ROIC Stability: 2/5
- Gross Margin Trend: 2/5
- Switching Costs: 3/5
A score above 3.5 suggests meaningful pricing power and a defensible market position.
What is INTC's return on equity (ROE)?
Intel Corporation's return on equity is -10.7%. ROE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from shareholder equity. An ROE above 15% is generally considered strong, while below 10% may signal inefficiency.
How do I buy INTC stock?
INTC shares can be purchased through any brokerage account that provides access to the NASDAQ. Common steps:
- Open an account with a broker (e.g., Fidelity, Schwab, Interactive Brokers)
- Search for ticker symbol INTC
- Place a market or limit order for your desired number of shares
This is not investment advice. Always do your own research before buying any stock.
Is INTC a value stock or speculative?
FairValueLabs classifies Intel Corporation as Value-Speculation. It has some value characteristics but carries elevated risk factors that make it speculative. Extra due diligence is recommended.
Who is the CEO of Intel Corporation?
The current CEO of Intel Corporation is Mr. Lip-Bu Tan.
What is INTC's earnings per share (EPS)?
Earnings per share measures the company's profit allocated to each outstanding share:
- Trailing EPS (last 12 months): $-2.09
- Forward EPS (next 12 months est.): $2.04
- Analyst consensus EPS (this year): $1.52
- Analyst consensus EPS (next year): $2.06
Other Technology companies analyzed by FairValueLabs
FairValueLabs Disclaimer
All valuations, scores, ratings, and classifications on this page are produced by the FairValueLabs internal valuation system. They do not represent actual market value, guaranteed outcomes, or professional investment advice. These are analytical estimates for educational and research purposes only.
This is not financial advice. All data is sourced from SEC EDGAR public filings. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Last updated: Aug 13, 2026. Data sources: SEC EDGAR (financial statements), Yahoo Finance (market data, analyst consensus). Data may not reflect the most recent quarter.
INTC analysis methodology: How we calculate fair value, Z-Scores, and moat ratings